Napoli host AC Milan in the prequel of their huge UEFA Champions League quarterfinal tie on Sunday evening as the two Italian heavyweights will lock horns in the 28th round of the Serie A. Napoli have all but secured the title with as many as 19 points separating them from the second-placed Lazio with only 11 games left to play. AC Milan, meanwhile, desperately need points in the battle for the top-four finish and a place in the elite continental competition next season.
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Luciano Spalletti has done miracles with Napoli this season. I Partinopei are firing on all cylinders. On top of 23 wins in 27 Serie A matches, Spalletti’s men have cruised past their rivals in the Champions League to reach the quarterfinal of the competition without any problems whatsoever. It is still too early for celebrations, though, and we will surely see a highly-motivated home team in Sunday’s clash against I Rossoneri. It should probably be enough for the win but let’s still do some analyses and take a look at our top betting picks and predictions for this match.
Napoli vs AC Milan Betting Tips
Napoli will enter this on the back of ten wins in the previous eleven matches across competitions. They have conceded only one goal in the last nine outings in the process. It came in a 0-1 defeat to Lazio exactly a month ago at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The team’s latest win was beyond impressive as Spalletti’s troops destroyed Torino 0-4 on the road two weeks ago.
AC Milan will go into this in completely opposite spirits. They went on the international break after a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Udinese. Their back line looked dreadful at Dacia Arena, allowing the counterparts 14 shots, numerous clear-cut openings, and three goals on the occasion. Stefano Pioli’s men are winless in four subsequent games in all competitions, scoring just three goals in the process.
Napoli conceded just one goal in the previous nine outings across competitions
Napoli have been very tough to break down since the start of the season but their defensive line offered particularly strong performances in the last couple of months. The fact they have not shipped just one goal in the previous nine games in all competitions is beyond fascinating and intimidating at the same time. AC Milan were struggling for goals and chances in recent games and we are very much interested in backing Napoli to win to nil at the 7/4 odds here. The fact that both teams scored just once in the last four head-to-head games between these rivals only adds to the appeal of the pick.
Giovanni Simeone to step in instead of injured Victor Osimhen
Napoli boast the best attacking and defensive records in the league. They scored 64 goals in 27 games so far in the season and they have just bagged seven goals in the previous two wins over Eintracht Frankfurt and Torino. Victor Osimhen is usually at the end of their attacking actions. The Nigerian forward is enjoying an amazing season with 21 goals in 23 Serie A appearances this term. He got injured during the mid-week though and is going to miss the Sunday’s clash against AC Milan. Giovanni Simeone should be in the starting line up and I will back him to break the deadlock at 5/1 odds.
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