Porto will be looking to annul a one-goal deficit on Tuesday evening when they host Inter Milan in the return fixture of the UEFA Champions League last 16 round tie at Estadio Do Dragao. The tie is wide open at the moment, especially after an equally-matched contest in the first leg played on February 22nd at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
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Both teams will likely fail to secure domestic league titles this season, especially Inter Milan who are 18 points below Napoli atop the Serie A ladder. Nerazzurri suffered a shocking 2-1 defeat at Spezia on Friday night, their second straight defeat on travels. FC Porto, on the other side, dispatched Estoril 3-2 on the home patch on Friday but they were far from impressive on the occasion. Let’s take a look at our top betting picks and predictions for this match.
Porto vs Inter Milan Betting Tips
Porto are eight points shy of Benfica at the top of the Primeira Liga table at the moment. Head coach Sergio Coinceicao has reasons to be worried about his team’s defensive efforts in recent outings. Porto did not keep a clean sheet in any of the previous four games across competitions. The fact they shipped two goals on Friday at home against Estoril says enough about their current form.
Inter Milan do have experienced high-profile predators in the final third in the likes of Romelu Lukaku, Lautaro Martinez, and Edin Dzeko. However, this trio did not quite perform very well in the latest away games as Inter Milan took only a single point from the previous three road clashes in the domestic league. The fact they have scored just one goal despite facing the likes of Sampdoria, Bologna, and Spezia in the process is quite worrying for head coach Simone Inzaghi and his troops.
Porto allowed just two goals in the last five Champions League outings
Taking everything into consideration, the value lies in backing another low-scoring scenario here. Inter Milan have scored just one goal in the last three league games on the road. Six of the last eight games they played in all competitions finished with fewer than three goals scored. Porto own the second-best defensive record in the Primeira Liga with 17 goals conceded in 24 games. They have conceded just two goals in the last five UEFA Champions League affairs. Add the importance of the match to the mix and you get the Under 1.5 goals FT bet as a great value option at the 12/5 odds.
Inter have been struggling on travels lately
We did not see too many scoring chances in the reverse game in Milano three weeks ago. The stakes are even higher for this second leg. We do not expect either manager to take unnecessary risks because a single goal completely changes the entire tie. Porto do have enough European experience to come on top in this type of match against teams from the strongest leagues on the continent. Inter Milan have been anything but impressive in recent outings. We see great value in backing Porto to win 1-0 on Tuesday at the odds of 7/1.
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