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Sutton’s Acca: 11/1 EFL Bet for Saturday 25th February


Sutton’s Acca: 11/1 EFL Bet

EFL pundit Gab Sutton picks his best bets for the weekend’s action

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Burnley to beat Huddersfield – 1/3

Burnley are now 13 games unbeaten after a 1-1 draw at Millwall in midweek put them 16 points clear in the automatic promotion race with 13 games to play.

The Clarets were described by opposite number Neil Warnock as the best Championship team he’s seen in 15 years - some compliment to say how good the 2017-18 Wolves side that his Cardiff team went up with was.

The East Lancashire outfit only have one area of concern, which is the centre-back partner for Hjalmar Ekdal: left-back by trade Charlie Taylor isn’t a natural option and 20-year-old Ameen Al-Dakhil, is inexperienced, but any doubts are quelled by the likely return from injury of Jordan Beyer.

Elsewhere, manager Vincent Kompany is spoilt for choice: in midfield, for instance, he can bring in the experience of Jack Cork, who oozes class alongside controller Josh Cullen, allowing Josh Brownhill to push on into the final third.

Lyle Foster and Michael Obafemi were recruited in January at a combined cost of approximately £11M, yet neither of the new kids on the block can displace the experienced Ashley Barnes, who’s grit, aggression and goalscoring instincts have been key to propelling Burnley closer to the finish line.

Huddersfield look galvanized and rejuvenated under Warnock, but even the wily campaigner has admitted that this isn’t the game that will define the outcome of their season.

Bolton to beat Port Vale – 8/13

Bolton booked their place at Wembley in midweek with an EFL Trophy Semi-Final victory at Accrington Stanley, and now it’s back to the league where Ian Evatt’s side are also on the right lines.

The Trotters lost 1-0 at Wycombe last time out, but have won five of their last six domestic outings, looking well-placed to not only get into the Play-Offs but also pose a major threat in them.

Evatt’s side boast a potential future Liverpool star in on-loan wing-back Conor Bradley, Rochdale recruit Aaron Morley has starred in midfield while the persistent Dion Charles, up top, has 14 goals to his name – only Peterborough’s Jonson Clarke-Harris has bagged more in League One this season.

With a formidable defence led by Ricardo Santos, to boot, Bolton are rightly heavy favourites to beat Port Vale, who are still in the top half despite a drop in form.

The Valiants have looked fragile defensively in recent weeks, especially when defending set pieces and crosses into the box, while strikers like Ellis Harrison and Matty Taylor are still getting back to fitness after injuries, with James Wilson still on the sidelines.

Ipswich to win at MK Dons – 8/15

Ipswich have drawn too many games to match the consistency of Sheffield Wednesday or Plymouth Argyle in the top two, so a Play-Off spot looks the best Kieran McKenna’s side can hope for.

Town are unbeaten in five, though, after a 4-0 thumping of bottom side Forest Green Rovers, and with Conor Chaplin and Nathan Broadhead coming into McKenna’s XI to maximum effect, the Suffolk club aspire to find a rhythm to rely on in May.

The Tractor Boys will be confident of completing back-to-back wins in Buckinghamshire, where MK Dons dropped back into the relegation zone after a 5-2 loss at Sheffield Wednesday last time out.

Mark Jackson’s side have individual quality in Mo Eisa and Jonathan Leko, but they can struggle for a coherent playing identity that gets the ball into the final third frequently, for those players to do damage.

At Hillsborough last time out, Leko and Eisa scored a goal apiece from limited service, but it’s not sustainable if the progression into those areas doesn’t improve.

Carlisle to win at Crawley - Evens

Carlisle are still waiting on having a fully fit squad – something they’ve struggled for all season – but the return of wing-back Jack Ellis is a welcome boost for Paul Simpson’s side.

Simpson likes a front-two of an experienced front-man in either Krystian Dennis or Joe Garner, alongside a more explosive type like John-Kymani Gordon – on loan from Crystal Palace – or Omari Patrick, all of whom are capable of doing damage.

Callum Guy has been converted into more of a ball-winner these days than would have been associated with him earlier in his career, with the ex-Bradford midfielder allowing Owen Moxon and Alfie McCalmont to control and create.

Having a natural right wing-back, however, is a huge plus, because when Ben Barclay filled in there, he didn’t provide the same thrust and it was easier for opponents to put more energy into stopping the other wing-back, Jack Armer.

Crawley should be a possession-heavy outfit under Scott Lindsey, but could be without the influential Ben Gladwin in midfield, as well as Brighton loanee Teddy Jenks.

Swindon to beat Harrogate – 4/5

Swindon got their first points of Jody Morris’ reign as Head Coach, digging in for a 2-1 victory at Salford.

It wasn’t a vintage performance, but it was one that answered one or two of the questions that had been levelled at Town, who have a young, talented squad that some doubt has the required grit and knowhow required to get results.

Charlie Austin, at least, is one of the few who brings much-needed experience to the Wiltshire outfit, and his quality makes him suitable foil for the spritely Jacob Wakeling, who delivered a man-of-the-match showing at the Peninsula Stadium, while Tom Clayton anchored the defence superbly.

Now Swindon have responded to their three-game losing streak, they have the chance to find some momentum and re-enter the Play-Off conversation.

Their victory at Salford puts Morris’ side just four points off the 7th-placed Ammies, with a game in hand, so with Bradford and Northampton also losing, a top seven spot starts to look more attainable than it did.

Harrogate won’t be easy to dislodge, having kept two clean sheets in five following the January additions of experienced centre-backs Anthony O’Connor and Tom Eastman, but they’ve been lessened going forward since flying wing-back Jaheim Headley’s loan was cut short by Huddersfield.

Betfair Acca

  • Burnley to beat Huddersfield – 1/3
  • Bolton to beat Port Vale – 8/13
  • Ipswich to win at MK Dons – 8/15
  • Carlisle to win at Crawley - Evens
  • Swindon to beat Harrogate – 4/5

£10 bet returns £108.89!

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Gab Sutton

Gab Sutton

EFL expert Gab Sutton brings you Sutton's Acca every Friday for Freebets