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Sutton’s Acca: 20/1 EFL Bet


EFL pundit Gab Sutton picks his fivefold for the weekend’s action.

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Burnley to win at Reading – 1/2

Reading primary focus for Saturday’s game is to get the points they need to give themselves a chance of climbing out of the relegation zone, after manager Paul Ince was sacked in the week.

Development coach Noel Hunt steps into the interim hot-seat, and could galvanize the club and fans enough to inspire an improvement in performance as the club seeks to retain it’s Championship status.

A secondary focus, perhaps for the fans more than players and staff, is protecting the Royals’ 106-point Championship record, set in the title win of 2005-06 under Steve Coppell.

If the Berkshire club can beat Burnley, it becomes mathematically impossible for the champions-elect to match the feat.

On the other hand, the Clarets – already promoted - will mathematically rubber-stamp top spot if they win, after Sheffield United fail to beat Cardiff in the early kick-off.

It’s a balancing act for Kompany, who will want to ensure his side finish this season with form fitting of their dominance, and grasp a unique opportunity to break a record.

The bigger picture for the Belgian, meanwhile, is giving fringe players an opportunity to show what they can do, in order to work out who can be relied upon in the Premier League.

Burnley have lavish squad depth, and on top of a supremely reliable core of Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, Ian Maatsen, Josh Cullen, Josh Brownhill and Nathan Tella, they also have plenty of quality to bring into the XI from last week’s bench.

Ipswich to beat Charlton 3/10

It was an Easter Monday of relief and frustration in equal measure for Ipswich.

Town were disappointed to drop two points at Cheltenham, after star man Conor Chaplin put them ahead in the second half, but they actually gained a point on second-placed Plymouth Argyle, who suffered a shock 2-0 home defeat to Lincoln.

In some respects, the fact Argyle lost only adds to the sense of missed opportunity for Kieran McKenna’s side, who would have moved into the automatic promotion spots for the first time in over four months if they’d held on for the victory.

Instead, the Tractor Boys conceded a first goal in 950 minutes of football, when they only needed to add another six.

Nonetheless, it’s been an astonishing run for Ipswich, which has taken them from a place of doubting even their top six chances, to being firmly in the mix for the top two, going into the business end.

Town have been particularly dominant, of late, at Portman Road, sweeping aside even Play-Off candidates like Wycombe with apparent ease, with Sam Morsy and Massimo Luongo calling the shots in midfield.

McKenna’s boys should do that once again against Charlton, who have a reasonable first XI but limited depth, and question marks over the fitness of key striker Miles Leaburn.

Lincoln to beat Port Vale 31/20

Lincoln have suffered just three defeats in 16 games this season against top nine opposition, and performances like Easter Monday’s 2-0 victory at Plymouth Argyle only adds to their feeling that they can compete consistently against the top sides in this league.

With that in mind, Imps can be excited about next season because, in an era when it feels like League One can be something of a split league, most midtable sides will be establishing superiority over the strugglers but falling short against the best.

For Mark Kennedy’s side, it’s the other way around, only the task of finding a formula to put the lesser teams to bed is much more favourable, than the hurdle of finding a way to take points off the top teams.

And, after successive 2-0 wins followed a creditable 1-1 draw at Sheffield Wednesday, City are in good form, and they’re not giving much away.

They still have a core of players in goalkeeper Carl Rushworth, defenders Regan Poole and Paudie O’Connor, and forward Ben House who have been excellent all season, only with more quality around them.

January recruit Ethan Erhahon has improved Lincoln’s use of the ball in midfield, while Danny Mandriou, a summer addition from the League of Ireland, threatens to finish the season in good form.

If Kennedy’s side could finish the season with one or two convincing wins against the bottom sides, that would give natives confidence that big things are in store next season, with 3-4 quality additions.

Their visitors, meanwhile, are limping over the line: Vale responded to disappointing 2-0 and 3-0 defeats to bottom four sides Cambridge and Accrington Stanley respectively, with a goalless draw with Oxford, which just about keeps the relegation zone at arm’s length.

It’s a good job Darrell Clarke’s side are already on 46 points, which may be enough for safety, based on form earlier in the season, because they’ve won just two of their last 17 league games and have looked sluggish of late.

Stevenage to beat Wimbledon 8/13

A run of three wins in 13 league games, naturally, brings about a certain level of anxiety in a promotion race, after Stevenage dropped out of the top three over the Easter Weekend.

Nonetheless, Northampton are hampered by injuries, Carlisle haven’t been in great form, and Bradford are yet to convince, albeit having match-winners at both ends.

With question marks over each of their promotion rivals, Stevenage still have control over their own destiny, with a game in hand on the teams above them on goal difference, including Stockport, who occupy the third automatic promotion spot.

Plus, Carlisle welcome both Northampton and Stockport to Brunton Park in a four-day period, so dropped points from rivals are guaranteed.

Stevenage, meanwhile, host out-of-form midtable sides Wimbledon and Doncaster on Saturday and Tuesday respectively: not far off the perfect fixtures at this stage of the season.

Realistically, therefore, Boro could be five points clear by 10 to 10 on Tuesday night, and all of the nerves from the injuries and indifferent form would subside ahead of the following four cup finals.

As such, while it might be tempting to reflect on missed opportunities for Steve Evans’ side to make their position more comfortable, the truth is it’s still right there for them to grab.

They do, though, need Jamie Reid or Danny Rose to finish the season in strong goalscoring form if they’re to get over the line, due to the absence of Luke Norris and Josh March: but both made an impact from the bench in an improved second half at Northampton two weeks ago.

Leyton Orient to win at Sutton – 8/5

Leyton Orient extended their unbeaten run to 12 games on Easter Monday, but League Two’s runaway leaders could only manage a draw against Harrogate, despite leading by two goals in the second half.

Nonetheless, the O’s still have a slim chance of mathematically rubber-stamping their inevitable promotion to League One on Saturday, if they win.

Richie Wellens’ side would need Carlisle and Stockport to fail to win, as well as Bradford to lose, in order to pop open the champagne bottle at Gander Green Lane.

The East Londoners can take promise from Ruel Sotiriou’s impressive brace against Harrogate, as well as the performance from Jordan Brown at the base of midfield, where ball-carrier Idris El Mizouni and creator George Moncur are known quantities.

Sutton will have no intentions of making it easy for their capital neighbours, and have a great home record – 11 wins in 20 on familiar soil – but Orient should move closer to the third-tier with a victory.

Betfair Acca

  • Burnley to win at Reading – 1/2
  • Ipswich to beat Charlton – 3/10
  • Lincoln to beat Port Vale – 31/20
  • Stevenage to beat Wimbledon – 8/13
  • Leyton Orient to win at Sutton – 8/5

£10 bet returns £208.84!

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Gab Sutton

Gab Sutton

EFL expert Gab Sutton brings you Sutton's Acca every Friday for Freebets