Melbourne Cup Betting Tips, Preview and Predictions
October 30, 2017
Melbourne Cup Betting Tips
The Melbourne Cup is Australia’s most prestigious annual thoroughbred horse race, ran at 3,200 metre race for three-year-olds and over conducted in Melbourne, Victoria. Starting at 3pm on the first Tuesday every November, the Melbourne Cup is the richest two-mile handicap in the world.
Last year’s event was won by Almandin, ridden by Kerrin McEvoy and owned by Lloyd Williams. Williams already had four previous winners in this race prior to last year, bidding for a sixth this time around.
Almandin enters this year’s event as the favourite at the time of writing, bidding to win consecutive events since Makybe Diva won three on the trot in 2003, 2004 and 2005.
While the Robert Hickmott trained gelding has great pedigree at this distance and track, an additional 4 kg of weight has lumbered onto him this year. While the German horse is well trained, that additional timber could realistically make a world of difference to his chances of success.
With just 6/1 on offer with most bookmakers for last year’s heavy winner in a big field, we’re keen to look elsewhere.
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Instead, the first of our picks goes with another Irish bay colt Johannes Vermeer. Priced up at 10/1 with Bet365, Johannes Vermeer is arriving on the back of several strong runs this season, including a 10f win at the Curragh and a second place run at 12f in Leopardstown.
More locally to this one, the Irish horse ran in the Caulfield Cup just a couple of weeks back, making a very powerful charge in the final to finish narrowly behind the leaders in third place. As the race came to a close, it looked like Johannes Vermeer could’ve nicked it with a little more racing room.
That steady run has offered inspiration that A P O’Brien has a real contender for the Melbourne Cup and we’re keen to get on board, backing him each way to be successful.
Our best bet for the prize, however, is to back long distance regular Marmelo. With two wins from two at 14 furlongs this season, Marmelo also ran in the Caulfield Cup. With the second heaviest weight in the race, Marmelo struggled to break the shackles and power away at any stage despite making a miraculous charge from back to front at the home stretch.
In Tuesday’s event, Marmelo runs at a slightly reduced weight which can make a world of difference. Jockey Hugh Bowman got a feel for Marmelo’s electric pace in the Caulfield Cup and, truthfully, this horse accelerates faster than any other in this race – it’s all about timing. If ridden perfectly, Marmelo should have more than enough to take the race for trainer Hughie Morrison. Take the 7/1 on offer with Ladbrokes that it’s an ideal run.
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