Author: Alan Kelly
Published: 08:56 13/10/2012
Newmarket stage two Group 1 contests for two-year-old's, but whereas the seven furlong Dubai Dewhurst Stakes looks to be at the mercy of Godolphin’s Dawn Approach, who appears to be head and shoulders above his five rivals, the six furlong Vision ae Middle Park Stakes looks a better betting proposition.
While Newmarket have come in for much criticism for staging both events on the same card, you have to go back to 1982 to find the last winner of both leading two-year-old contests. The horse in question was the Henry Cecil-trained Diesis who, after winning the Middle Park under Lester Piggott, won an infamous Dewhurst when beating the 'unbeatable' Gorytus, forever the subject of doping allegations.
Hopefully there won't be any such controversy at headquarters on this occasion and both events produce performances that have a serious impact on next year's Classics races.
The unbeaten Reckless Abandon looks certain to start favourite for the Middle Park and is sure to take some beating for jockey Gerald Mosse and trainer Clive Cox, who describes the son of Exchange Rate as "'the best he has trained". The colt's record backs up this opinion as he has already a Group 1 in the bag after landing Group 2's at Ascot and Maisons-Laffitte.
The Group 1 contest was the Darley Prix Morny at Deauville in which he had two of today's rivals, Parliament Square and Moohaajim behind. The latter's jockey Adam Kirby could have ridden Reckless Abandon but on this occasion prefers to partner the Marco Botti colt.
The Kevin Ryan-trained Blaine is unbeaten in two races including York's Gimcrack Stakes and is open to plenty more improvement, but trainer Aidan O'Brien can win his fifth Middle Park with the unlucky Cristoforo Columbo and Ryan Moore. The Henrythenavigator colt slipped up after clipping the heels of a rival last time and got bogged down on desperate ground at the Curragh on his third start.
After winning his maiden easily the race that marks Cristoforo Columbo as a serious horse is Royal Ascot's Coventry Stakes in which he was beaten less than a length by two Group 1 horses in Dawn Approach and Olympic Glory. Either of those animals would be at short odds if competing in the Middle Park making the 6/1 available with Bet365 and Skybet about Aidan O'Brien's charge the value of the race.
With decent two-year-old's like Sir Pracealot and Artigiano behind Cristoforo Columbo at Ascot the form of the race looks rock solid and providing the ground isn't too bad Ryan Moore's mount is sure to prove hard to beat.
Dawn Apporach, trained by Jim Bolger looks the obvious choice in the Dewhurst. The 2000 Guineas favourite is short enough at 2/5 and isn’t certain to get things all his own way with John Gosden-trained 4/1 chance Ashdan one with the potential to pose a serious threat.
Get £200 free bets at bet365
£10 Completely free, no deposit required at SkyBet