Author: Will Smith
Published: 09:43 30/01/2013
Creatures of habit; whether you are referring to horses or their trainers, it is a notion well worth bearing in mind when it comes to having a bet.
On his fifth start last season, in a handicap hurdle just shy of three miles at Hereford on 25th January 2012, Quinte Du Chatelet won by ten lengths from his nearest pursuer. The official going was soft and the race comments read: ‘Made all, drew 5 lengths clear 3 out, kept on stoutly, unchallenged.’ All this from a rating of 114.
The season before, on his fifth start on 29th January 2010 he won a 2m4f Chepstow handicap hurdle by 17 lengths off a mark of 112. The ground was heavy.
Tomorrow, Quinte Du Chatelet has his fifth start this season, and for it he has a handicap mark of 111. It is a 3m handicap chase at Ludlow, where the ground is described as ‘soft, heavy in places’ with further rain forecast. Not only is he 3lbs lower than his last winning mark, he also has the services of the very capable conditional jockey Tom Bellamy, who rides regularly for David Pipe and can take off a valuable 7lbs. So he is in effect racing off a mark of 104. I think you see where I am going with this.
The irksome among you will point out that he has never won over fences, though he is a half-brother to two French chase winners. Also, despite unseating once, he has generally jumped well in his five starts over fences. In fact, last time out at Exeter he led all the way and was still contesting the lead at the last, before just tiring up the punishing hill.
There is every reason to believe that tomorrow is the day David Pipe believes Quinte Du Chatelet will get his head in front over fences. And at 10/1 with Ladbrokes, I am more than willing to wade in with him.
Recommendation: Quinte Du Chatelet (Ludlow 3.10) – 10/1 Ladbrokes
Signup to Ladbrokes now for a free bet of up to £50