2000 Guineas Tip: Mars On The Attack At 16-1

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Author: Alan Kelly

Tags: Horse Racing

Published: 08:59 26/03/2013

With Aidan O'brien's Kingsbarns an unlikely runner we recommend stablemate Mars as the 2000 Guineas tip

Kingsbarns may be Aidan O'Brien's number one three year old for 2013 but it seems increasingly likely that the Racing Post Trophy winner will miss the first classic of the season after suffering a minor setback that cost the son of Galileo to miss ten days work. From being clear second favourite behind the unbeaten Dewhurst Stakes winner Dawn Approach Kingsbarns can now be backed at a high of 11-1 with Coral and a more realistic target would now appear to be the Irish Guineas or one of the Derby Trials.

With the uncertainty surrounding the participation of Ballydoyle's big hope Jim Bolger's Dawn Approach has shortened in the ante-post market with no bigger than 15-8 being available about the son of New Approach, a far from tempting proposition at this early stage. Cristoforo Colombo at 7-1 would now appear to be O'Brien's main hope and has been well supported in recent weeks but the son of Henrythenavigator seemed ill at ease on the rain softened ground when a never dangerous fourth in the Middle Park Stakes behind Reckless Abandon and unless the weather improves dramatically next month those odds are unlikely to shorten.

One horse who could be vastly overpriced at the 16-1 of offer with Betvictor, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes and William Hill is Crisoforo Colombo's stablemate Mars who was favourite for the Derby at one stage, after an impressive victory on his only start at Dundalk last July when hacking up at odds of 4-7. That may only have been a maiden race but the vibes before the race suggested that the colt was high up in the Ballydoyle pecking order. Mars worked with a large number of the O'Brien inmates after racing at the Curragh on Sunday and went very nicely under Seamie Heffernan, pleasing his trainer and putting him bang in the mix for the race won by Camelot last year.

Massarra, the dam of Mars, was trained by John Dunlop and did most of her racing over six furlongs so there is plenty of speed in his pedigree which suggests that the one mile of the Guineas should not pose a problem and for a horse with huge potential is worth chancing at current odds.

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