Author: Will Smith
Published: 11:57 31/03/2013
With 12/1, 14/1 and 25/1 selections all placing on Saturday, hopefully you had them in each-way accumulators. If not, we can recoup any losses by getting some 10/1 about the most likely favourite and winner of Friday’s Topham Chase.
The showpiece of the middle day of the three day Aintree Grand National meeting extravanganza, the Topham is always a fascinating affair. Last year’s second Chance Du Roy hinted at a return to form last time out at Warwick behind handicap snip of all time Ballynagour, in a race where Golden Chieftain finished just under a length ahead of Philip Hobbs gritty chaser. That one has since hacked up in the JLT Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham festival.
Experiencing the National fences for the first time in last year’s race, Chance Du Roy took to them like a duck to water and was just outstayed by Aintree stalwart Always Waining. He was then prepared for a tilt at December’s Grand Sefton, and was slipstreaming eventual winner Little Josh when knuckling on landing over the 14th. He would surely have gone close.
The upside of that mishap is that he is on a handicap mark 2lb lower than last year and with an eye to that Warwick run, he has surely been brought to the boil for Friday’s race.
There is no Always Waining to worry about this time, as he is having a crack at the National itself. While Little Josh will probably want it softer than it will be, and there is no reason to believe Fistral Beach will turn around the 1¼ length deficit (when third last year) on 2lb worse terms, despite Paul Nicholls’ chaser’s exceptional record fresh.
Should the ground dry out and if Aintree don’t overwater then Tartak would come into it, but at 16/1 he is short enough. In summary, I would be amazed if Chance Du Roy wasn’t half the available 10/1 come the day, and must have a favourite’s chance.
Chance Du Roy – 10/1 (William Hill)