Author: Will Smith
Published: 10:27 01/06/2013
What an intriguing renewal of the Derby we have today. There are so many imponderables about these blue-blooded three year olds, none more so than the favourite Dawn Approach.
I don’t buy into the fact that the son of New Approach will win because of his class – he will have to stay the trip. One can envisage the scenario whereby Aidan O’Brien’s Coolmore battalion will ride the race much like a team of cyclists who know they have superior stamina and fitness. It will be a conveyor-belt of pace makers, with survival of the fittest and stoutest the prime objective.
That said, I can see Dawn Approach getting beat, I just don’t know what by.
I am very happy with my two advised in the Dash, Captain Dunne can be backed in a place at 8/1, and 12/1 is still there for Stone Of Folca. Those prices will be gone come race time so if you aren’t on, avail yourself, as the ground is coming right for them by the hour.
As for a bet on this most important of Saturdays, it is off to the outposts of Worcester and Newcastle that I will go.
True Blue ran a really promising race on his debut for Nigel Twiston-Davies, and the drying ground will really suit the Middleham Park-owned chaser. He had just headed Sparville at Ffos Las last time when that one came down, and for some reason the re-opposing Sparville is 4/1, while True Blue is 15/2 with Coral.
Meanwhile up at Newcastle this evening, when The Derby will be but a distant and bleary memory, there is a corking 8/1 bet at 8.10.
Maska Pony encounters his optimum conditions on the flat for the first time, and off a temptingly low handicap mark of 52, compared with a best winning hurdle mark of 123, he makes quite some appeal.
He has looked on the face of it as if he is exposed on the flat, but 2m and good ground are what he wants. Considering the sweeping headway he made wide and around the bend last time at Newcastle on ground too soft, if Tom Eaves can time his run a little later, then he must go well.
1.55 Worcester: True Blue – 15/2 (Coral)
8.10 Newcastle: Maska Pony – 8/1 (generally)