Betting On Diego Costa To Be Premier League Top Goalscorer

Paul Reece profile photo

Author: Paul Reece

Tags: 2016/17 Premier League

Published: 13:19 09/10/2014

Chelsea striker Diego Costa

Diego Costa has made a truly incredible start to life in the Premier League following his £32 million move to Chelsea from Atletico Madrid, leaving the striker the odds on favourite to be the Premier League's top goalscorer this season. And before you take a look at the other contenders and back your favourite, taking advantage of Paddy Power’s £20 free bet when you place a £10 bet, we have looked at the value of backing the Blues forward.

 The Spanish international has netted nine goals in his opening seven games, four ahead of his nearest genuine rival, Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero, heading into the international break. No foreign striker has made such an impact in his opening seven matches, with the forward breaking Mickey Quinn’s and Aguero’s record of six goals in their opening four Premier League matches. While only Quinn’s record of 10 in his first seven matches during the 1992/93 season with Coventry City is better than Costa’s opening seven games.

Costa netted 36 goals in 52 appearances last season as Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid and Barcelona to the La Liga title and came within minutes of defeating their city rivals in the final of UEFA Champions League. The 25-year-old headed into the World Cup with a hamstring injury, however, and was unable to replicate his club form in Brazil as the reigning champions crashed out in the group stage with the striker failing to score and being substituted in his two appearances.

The strikers showed no signs of a World Cup hangover, however, impressing for the Blues during pre-season and he began the new campaign with four goals in his opening three Premier League matches. The forward netted the equaliser as Jose Mourinho’s men fought back to defeat Burnley 3-1 and netted again as the Londoner’s beat Leicester City 2-0. The former Valladolid forward then netted two against Everton during their 6-3 thriller with Chelsea at Goodison Park, the first coming after just 35 seconds. And he continued his magnificent form against Swansea City, netting his first hat-trick in England with a treble against Gary Monk’s men in his fourth match.

Costa’s physique and stature suit the Premier League perfectly and he has been seen by many as the missing link to the Chelsea side who are already strong at the back but lacked the ruthlessness up front last season that Costa has brought to the side this year. Samuel Eto’o, Demba Ba and Fernando Torres netted 19 goals between them last season while the former Atletico Madrid man is already almost halfway to that target after just seven appearances.

One concern, however, is the striker’s injury problems and whether he will be to maintain this form over the season with his hamstring problems. Jose Mourinho has suggested the striker can not play in three games in a week, although he has already contradicted this statement this season. As long as the club can manage his fitness and take care of their main man, however, he should be able to thrive in the Premier League.

The 6ft 2” forward was as high as 7/1 to win the golden boot at the start of the season with Betfair but is now 4/5 with the bookmakers and is also odds on with every other major betting site in the country. He is already four ahead of Aguero, West Brom’s Saido Berahino and Leicester’s Leonardo Ulloa, who all sit with five goals and he has proven himself to be capable of scoring against the big boys, netting against Arsenal, and producing the goods against the smaller clubs with goals against Premier League new boys Leicester and Burnley.

Now may be the best time to get behind the forward if you are a big better with his odds shortening with every Premier League goal and with Crystal Palace up next after the international break the striker will be confident of continuing his impressive start to life in the Premier League and unlike his City rival Aguero, the forward is unlike to find himself a victim of squad rotation with Mourinho having just veteran forward Didier Drogba and French striker Loic Remy to bring into the side in his place.

Bet on the forward now and you are generally looking at an £18 pound return from a £10 bet. He is odds on with every bookmaker, and for a good reason, with Chelsea unbeaten and also odds on to lift their first Premier League title since 2010. One market to consider could be the Premier League winner/top scorer double with Costa and Chelsea available at 11/8 with Paddy Power, giving you a return of £23.75p from a £10 bet and the attacker is 4/1 with the Irish bookmakers to be the Premier League PFA Player of the Year.

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