Author: Andrew Younger
Cheltenham Festival 2016
Published: 10:21 02/11/2014
The Gold Cup is the highlight of the Cheltenham Festival and as with any other race, there are a number of trends that should be taken into account before placing your bets. Here we take a look at some the trends that have developed over the years in the Gold Cup to help you win big.
1. Flying Favourites
Lord Windermere pulled off a shock in 2014 by winning the race as a 33/1 outsider. Before that the thirteen previous winners had all started in the first three in the betting, which means a quick look at the bookies favourites should give you a strong indication of who will be there or thereabouts in this years Gold Cup.
2. Finding Form
A strong season in the build up to the Gold Cup is usually key to winning the race, with fourteen of the last fifteen Gold Cup champions tasting victory earlier in the season. A particularly good indicator to judge the form of the horses coming in to the Gold Cup is King George VI Chase at Kempton, with nine of the last fourteen winners contesting the race.
3. Cheltenham Pedigree Essential
A knowledge of the course is a strong trend that runs throughout the history of winners in the Gold Cup. Ten of the last thirteen winners have all won or finished second at the Festival. Grade One experience is also a good indicator of who will be in the running for the Gold Cup. All of the last fourteen winners of the Gold Cup have previous wins in Grade One contests. Seven of the last 10 winners have been bred in Ireland
4. Trainer Trends
Certain trainers know different courses better than others, and the New Course at Cheltenham is no different. Paul Nicholls has a brilliant Cheltenham record, and he is the most successful current trainer with four wins. Nicky Henderson has had the edge over recent Gold Cups, however, with two wins in the last four Gold Cup’s.
5. All About Age
Age isn’t just a number when it comes to horse racing, with certain ages proving more fruitful than others. Eighteen of the last twenty winners in the Gold Cup have been aged between seven and nine, so bare those two numbers in mind when deciding a potential winner. If you’re still in some doubt about that, there has only ever been one 6 year old winner since 1963 and just one of the last twenty winners was aged ten or over.