Author: Andrew Younger
2016/17 Premier League
Published: 14:04 05/11/2014
When the fixture list first came out, this game would have been seen as an easy away three points. That dynamic will have shifted in recent weeks, with the two teams showing contrasting levels of form.
Manchester City have failed to reproduce the dominant displays that took them to the title last year. They’ve have had a difficult fortnight after losing to West Ham and Newcastle before narrowly beating a 10 man Man Utd team in the Manchester Derby. City’s odds for the Premier League title have drifted in recent weeks, and they need to start winning again soon if they are to keep in touching distance with leaders Chelsea.
QPR on the other hand have been rattling the cages of the big boys, with narrow defeats to Liverpool and Chelsea coming either side of an impressive 2-0 home win against Aston Villa.
Who Will Win?
Manchester City have found QPR to be resilient opponents in recent years, so this game could play to form in the sense that it should be a bit of a grind for the Champions with QPR upping their work rate in recent games. That said, Manchester City have won 3 of the 4 Premier League games between the two teams.
Two of those three games have been decided by one goal, which shows how tight this fixture has been in recent years. Manchester City still come into this game as strong favourites at 2/5 with Ladbrokes but with their patchy form of late this price doesn’t represent great value. With a tight Loftus Road pitch and a QPR team full of intensity meeting Manchester City this weekend, they can take the momentum they have built over the last few weeks and give the Champions a real scare. QPR are 15/2 with Bet365 to win the game but a draw at 19/5 with BetVictor represents good value for this game.
Will There Be Goals?
Although games between QPR and Man City have been decided by tight margins, they have nearly always guaranteed goals. 3 of the 4 Premier League games between the two teams has featured over 3.5 goals, with a 0-0 draw in 2013 going some way to damaging this games reputation for goals. The goals should return this week though, with both teams involved in high scoring affairs. QPR have conceded 15 goals in their last 7 games, an average of over 2 goals per game, while 4 of Manchester City’s last 6 games have featured over 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals again in this game is 3/5 with BetVictor, however backing both teams to score at 4/5 with Ladbrokes could prove a more lucrative bet. Both teams have scored in 4 of QPR’s last 6 games and in 5 of Manchester City’s last 8 games.
Who Will Score?
Charlie Austin has scored 24 league goals for QPR since the start of last season (incl. play-offs), 18 more than anyone else. He has been their main goal threat this season and is in great form with 3 goals in his last 2 games. He’s 7/2 with Betfred to take his tally beyond the 5 Premier League goals he’s already bagged this season.
Sergio Aguero has scored 11 goals in his last 12 Premier League games and is currently the leagues top scorer. He will again spearhead the City attack and with the wealth of creative ability behind him supplying him with chances, 4/5 for him to score again on Saturday with Winner looks like a good bet.