Sergio Aguero’s hattrick against Bayern Munich gave his club’s Champions League hopes a major boost and BetVictor is giving the best odds for Manchester City to qualify for the knockouts and free bet refunds if they don’t.
The Argentinian striker has scored 19 goals in 20 games in all competitions this season and his two strikes in the last five minutes rescued City from disaster as they came back from 2-1 down to beat Bayern 3-2 at the Etihad stadium on 25 November.
Manuel Pellegrini’s side head to Italy for the decisive showdown against Roma on Wednesday 10 December with BetVictor offering 10/11 for the Citizens to progress and customers can receive free bet refunds on a selection of bet types on the game, if City fail to make it through.
How Manchester City Can Qualify
Bayern Munich have already won Champions League Group E but City, Roma and CSKA Moscow are level with five points each and qualification to the next stage is not 100% in City’s own hands.
CSKA Moscow will finish above Manchester City if they each have the same result on Wednesday due to their head-to-head record. However if City do better than Moscow they only have to avoid a 0-0 draw to progress. They drew their game 1-1 against the Italians in Manchester meaning Roma would have the better head-to-head on away goals if the reverse fixture is goal less.
Any scoring draw or a victory for Manchester City will guarantee they finish above Roma as long as Moscow don’t match the result in Munich.
The Chances Of City Qualifying
It is an agonisingly close call and the best odds for Manchester City to qualify are 10/11. Considering the margin the bookies keep for profit that probably makes it a 50/50 chance.
CSKA have it all to do to get a result in Germany. The Russians were 1-0 at home in the first match against Bayern and lost 3-0 at the Allianz Arena in last season’s group stage. They are rated 14/1 to beat Bayern and they will be hoping the runaway Bundesliga leaders have they minds elsewhere now that they’ve won the group.
City have hit form at the right time, winning their last four matches including two away games at Southampton and Sunderland. They scored seven goals in those two trips against sides with strong defensive records at home. It could augur well for the task in Italy where Roma are unbeaten in Serie A this term and have only conceded once in seven home games in the league.
The positive for City is Aguero’s virtually unstoppable form and Roma’s questionable Champions League performances at the Olympic Stadium. The Italians have not kept a clean sheet at home in the Champions League since beating Arsenal on penalties in 2009 and were hammered 7-1 in Rome by Bayern in October.
City are top price 13/8 to win the match and a score draw (Match Result and Both Teams To Score) is 7/2.