Chelsea v Liverpool: League Cup Semi-Final Betting Preview

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Author: Tony MacDonald

Tags: Football 2016/17 League Cup

Published: 14:43 22/01/2015

Liverpool travel to Stamford Bridge in the second leg of the Capital One Cup semi-final on Tuesday 27th January, we preview the game from a betting perspective using recent trends and form to unearth some value bets.

We suggested that the first leg would perhaps be a low-scoring tactical duel and that was certainly the case as the sides played out a 1-1 draw at Anfield. Eden Hazard converted from the penalty spot for the fourth time this season to give Chelsea the lead, but a fantastic individual effort from Raheem Sterling levelled the scores on the hour mark.

A glance at the match odds in the top right (mobile users scroll down) shows that online bookmakers are once again favouring Chelsea, but with little to pick between the sides in the first leg, fans of both teams will be hoping to get a decent reward for showing their loyalty.

Who will win?

Remembering that away goals only count after extra-time has been played, only a 1-1 draw on the night would see this tie go to a penalty shoot-out, an eventuality that both parties would probably rather avoid.

It can't be overlooked that Chelsea are yet to lose a home game this season and the hosts extended their unbeaten run against Liverpool to six matches with the latest draw, but the Reds last win at Stamford Bridge did come in the Capital One Cup and they have won three of the last five meetings at the venue.

But that was before the return of Jose Mourinho who is notoriously hard to beat at home and barring a wobble a few weeks back, Chelsea have looked the toughest side to beat this season. Most online bookmakers rate the home side as an 8/15 chance to win in 90 minutes, but value hunters can get a little extra by backing the Blues at 4/7 with 888Sport.

Will There Be Goals?

Whenever a tie is played over two legs, it's usually the second game when everything comes to life and the fact that Liverpool have scored on each of their past five visits to Stamford Bridge is interesting.

As previously mentioned neither side will want to rely on the lottery of a penalty shoot-out, nor will they be enthusiatic about the prospects of playing extra-time, so we could be in for a more open game with a few goals to boot - Bets on Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score therefore look worthy of interest.

Who Will Score?

We cited Diego Costa as a likely First Goalscorer in the first leg and the Spaniard must be once again considered having scored 17 goals from 26 apperances in all competitions. Eden Hazard got the opener last week and will retain his penalty duties, while Andre Schurrle is one to keep an eye on if starting the game and could be available to back at a generous price.

Raheem Sterling produced a moment of magic to level the tie last week and must be considered as a First Goalscorer by those fancying Liverpool to land the first blow, while Fabio Borini and Steven Gerrard represent viable alternatives at likely bigger odds of starting the game.

Correct Score Prediction:
Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool - 7/1 888Sport

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