2015 Royal Ascot Betting Guide - Day 5

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Author: Alan Kelly

Tags: Horse Racing Royal Ascot 2015

Published: 15:41 19/06/2015

2.30 CHESHAM STAKES

This seven furlong Listed race is easily the weakest of the two-year-old races at the meeting and the aptly-named Aiden O’Brien-trained runner Ballydoyle is sure to prove popular following his encouraging debut at the Curragh when sent off a warm 5-6 favourite. The son of Galileo looked as green as grass on that occasion and didn’t really get going until the contest was over but should come on a ton for the introduction and with that race under his belt this could be yet another winner for the Ryan Moore bandwagon. However, while Ballydoyle is a horse with unlimited potential it could pay to stick with proven form on this occasion and in that respect the Godolphin runner TONKINESE should take plenty of beating. Mark Halford’s inmate went down by just over a length to Air Force Blue on his debut at the Curragh last month, form boosted with that horse going on to finish second in the Coventry on Tuesday, before winning his maiden at Leopardstown with the minimum of fuss. In a race with little worthwhile form to go on the US raider Love The Kitten has to be respected while Mark Johnston’s ‘ second-string ‘ SIXTH SENSE could go well at a big price in a race where experience could prove decisive.

Recommendations
1 Point Win TONKINESE 4-1 Betfair Sportsbook
1 Point each-way SIXTH SENSE 25-1 Generally

3.05 WOLFERTON HANDICAP

Bypassing the Group 2 Hardwicke Stakes in favour of this, the unbeaten Mahsoob is likely to prove a warm order off a mark of 106 before stepping up in class and while John Gosden’s colt could easily turn out to be a good thing the son of Dansili takes a while to get going and may lack the experience necessary against seasoned handicappers. Godolphin’s main contender First Flight is closely matched with the favourite on York form and could turn the tables on 5lb better terms but a chance is taken on the top weight FIRE FIGHTING who has been in great form of late and may be capable of defying a career high mark of 110. Andrew Balding’s Collaboration is on a four-timer for the season but is now 27lb higher than when winning at Windsor back in April and a bigger danger could be Niceofyoutotellme who was beaten less than a length by Prince Of Wales’s third Western Hymn on his most recent start in a Sandown Group 3 contest.

Recommendation
1 Point each-way FIRE FIGHTING 16-1 Generally

3.40 HARDWICKE STAKES

Sir Michael Stoute holds a strong hand being responsible for three of the seven runners the best of which looks to be Telescope who was so impressive in beating stablemate Hillstar 12 months ago by seven lengths, although the runner up ( who opposes again ) did not enjoy the clearest of runs. Following a disappointing start to the season when touched off by Second Step at Newmarket the mount of Ryan Moore made no mistake when running away with a Newbury Listed contest. However, the Galileo colt is not one to take too short a price about and faces stiff opposition in the shape of Eagle Top and POSTPONED. The former hacked up in the King Edward V11 Stakes last year and should improve for his seasonal reappearance at Sandown but the vote goes to the Luca Cumani runner who looked a certain future Group 1 winner when beating Snow Sky in York’s Great Voltigeur last August. Two creditable efforts this season should have put Adam Kirby’s mount spot on and with ground conditions sure to suit is taken to get the better of the warm favourite.

Recommendation
1 Point Win POSTPONED 7-2 Generally

4.20 DIAMOND JUBILEE STAKES

The final Group 1 of the Royal meeting looks set to be dominated by foreign raider, the possible exception being the Irish-trained pair of Mustajeeb and Due Diligence. US runner Undrafted ran well to finish fourth, beaten two lengths, in last season’s July Cup but Wesley Ward’s runner usually finds one or two too good and it is the two Aussie challengers BRAZEN BEAU and WANDJINA who make more appeal. The former boasts the best form having won three of his last four starts, two of those in Group 1 company, the most recent being an impressive victory in the Lexus Newmarket Handicap at Flemington and a reproduction of that run should be too good for the opposition. The latter is another improving three-year-old whose only defeat this year came when going down by a short head to Dissident in the Group 1 Schweppes All Aged Stakes over 7f at Randwick. The drop back to 6f may prove ideal for Gai Waterhouse’s colt who loves to race up with the pace and the mount of Damien Oliver can pose the favourite most problems.

Recommendations
1 Point Win BRAZEN BEAU 11-4 Generally
1 Point each-way WANDJINA 10-1 Betfair Sportsbook ( 4 places )

5.00 WOKINGHAM STAKES

As usual this 28 runner sprint handicap is going to take some solving but having already put up the Olly Stevens-trained GAMESOME ante-post at 20-1 a big run is expected from the lightly-raced improver who looks to have been handed a decent draw from stall 5. In such a wide-open affair it is wise to have more than one string to our bow and the one who takes the eye is the David O’Meara inmate WATCHABLE, the mount of Jamie Spencer and drawn lowest of all in stall 1. The son of Pivotal is held in high regard by his shrewd trainer who expects the five-year-old to develop into a Group performer, a belief confirmed when the gelding was beaten just half a length by Astaire in Newmarket’s Group 3 Abernant Stakes on his first run of the season. Slightly disappointing when fifth behind subsequent King’s Stand Stakes winner Goldream in the Palace House Stakes WATCHABLE should appreciate the return to six furlongs and off a mark of 108 will take plenty of beating.

Recommendation
1 Point each-way WATCHABLE 14-1 bet365 ( 5 places )
Already Advised - 1 Point each-way GAMESOME 20-1

5.35 QUEEN ALEXANDRA STAKES

The longest race of the meeting ( 2m 5f 159y ) is likely to provide the unstoppable Ryan Moore with yet another winner at the Royal fixture in the shape of the Willie Mullins-trained WICKLOW BRAVE who has won twice on the Flat since running away with the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. In one of the longest races of the Flat season the contest often sees horses run way above their form due to the marathon trip and with that in mind it could pay to have an each-way saver on a rank outsider in LONGSHADOW. Although only rated 82 ( four rivals rated over 100 ) the five-year-old has improved significantly for the step up in trip for trainer Jason Ward and while, on paper, looking out of his depth in this company it would be no surprise to see the mount of Paul Mulrennan run above expectations, and with bookmakers going a quarter the odds the first 3 could easily make the frame at a huge price.

Recommendation
1 Point each-way LONGSHADOW 66-1 Generally
1 Point Win WICKLOW BRAVE 5-4 Generally

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