Author: Tony MacDonald
Published: 14:28 20/09/2015
Birmingham City make the short trip to Villa Park for a Capital One Cup clash on Tuesday 22nd September 2015 - Live at 19.45 on Sky Sports 1. It's a local derby match which tends to entertain and should be a popular attraction for punters looking turn a profit on a mid-week televised game.
The Villans made heavy weather of their League Cup second round tie against Notts County, but came from behind three times to force the tie to extra-time and eventually ran out 5-3 winners over the League Two side. Villa have continued to leak goals since then and their defensive frailties were fully exposed when Leicester came back from 2 goals down to beat Tim Sherwood's side 3-2 last week. The hosts desperately need a lift after losing 0-1 to West Brom at the weekend and another defeat to a rival here would surely see pressure on their under-fire boss intensify.
Birmingham beat Bristol Rovers 1-2 in the first round, then dished out a first defeat of the season for League One leaders Gillingham when registering a comfortable 2-0 win in the second round to set up this tie and will relish their underdog tag in this local derby. The Blues are currently just outside the play-off places in the Championship, but probably should be 2 points better off having drawn 1-1 away at Ipswich on Friday night due to a controversial penalty decision. Gary Rowett's side have lost just once in 9 games this season, so head into Tuesday's match in much better form than Aston Villa.
The bookies have Aston Villa down as favourites at around the even money mark, with Birmingham deemed to be slight outsiders to win the match. Despite Villa playing in the tier above Birmingham, it looks pretty tough to call a winner and plenty of punters will be sitting on the fence, but can still get involved in the action by opting for a bet on the First Goalscorer market.
Goalscorer Second Chance
Jordan Ayew has had limited game time since joining Aston Villa, but could get the opportunity to showcase his talents on Tuesday night and is favourite to open the scoring. Rudy Gestede is next in the betting and has picked up just the one goal so far, while some punters will fancy Gabby Agbonlahor to open his account for the season. Jack Grealish is a solid option for those fancying a midfielder to get on the score-sheet and thjere will be plenty of takers of Scott Sinclair's juicy odds after he grabbed a hat-trick in the second round win over Notts County.
For the visitors, Wes Thomas will is likely be a popular candidate in the First Goalscorer markets after his brace against Gillingham, though he has not scored any other goals this season and Clayton Donaldson could be a better bet having notched 3 times. David Cotterill and Stephen Gleeson have both scored twice this season and could be worth a market check, while Jacques Maghoma found the net against Bristol Rovers and followed up with a goal away at MK Dons in the Championship, so is another player to consider.
Whoever you plump for in the First Goalscorer market, use William Hill for the added protection of a free bet refund, should your losing selection then go on to score the second goal of the game. William Hill's Goalscorer 2nd Chance entitles qualifying customers to a free bet refund of up to £50.
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