2015 St Leger Day Betting Guide
2.00 AT THE RACES CHAMPAGNE STAKES ( GROUP 2 ) 7f
If there is a top-notch juvenile in this Group 2 contest it is likely to be the Godolphin runner EMOTIONLESS who ran out an impressive winner of his maiden at Newmarket last month, form which has been boosted due to subsequent victories by the second, third and fifth horses home. Sent off a warm favourite for that race the son of Shamardal is obviously well regarded and despite the step up in class it will be disappointing if William Buick’s mount does not prove up to it. Goodwood’s Vintage Stakes runner-up Ibn Malik should follow the market leader home.
Recommendation – 2 Points Win EMOTIONLESS 10-11 Coral (money back if beaten by up to a head)
2.35 LADBROKES PORTLAND ( HANDICAP ) 5f 140y
A typically wide-open renewal of this 22-runner sprint handicap in which many can be given a chance. Recent easy York scorer George Dryden has to be respected with a 6lb penalty for that comprehensive victory while Suzi’s Connoisseur, Highland Acclaim and B Fifty Two will have their supporters following good efforts on their most recent starts but from a handicapping perspective the Kevin Ryan-trained BOGART is very tempting if showing anything like his best form over what is probably his best trip. The six-year-old will be running off his lowest ever mark ( 90 ) after being rated as high as 110 at his peak. The Bahamian Bounty gelding may not be as good as when giving weight and a beating to Group 1 winner Goldream at York in 2013 but several creditable efforts this season including a close third to Kimberella on the Knavesmire in July entitles the mount of Shane Grey to go close from what could be a good draw in stall 5.
Recommendation – 1 Point each-way BOGART 14-1 Generally
3.10 SAINT GOBAIN WEBER PARK STAKES ( GROUP 2 ) 7f
Last year’s winner Ansgar will do well to follow up on his three runs this season which have been very disappointing while the forecast overnight rain could scupper the chances of a number of these including the Henry Candy-trained Limato. Coulsty has done little wrong this season and could be overpriced at 14-1 while Lightning Moon is interesting if fit enough on his first run for four months but the vote goes to HOME OF THE BRAVE who was so impressive on his most recent start at the Curragh. A trip of seven furlongs with cut in the ground is ideal for the son of Starspangledbanner who will be fresher than most after a relatively light season and the mount of Harry Bentley looks sure to go well for trainer Hugo Palmer.
Recommendation – 1 Point each-way HOME OF THE BRAVE 6-1 Generally
3.45 LADBROKES ST LEGER ( GROUP 1 ) 1m 6f 132y
Trainer Aidan O’Brien is taken to land the final Classic of the season for a fifth time with BONDI BEACH, a race covered in more detail here
Recommendation – 2 Points Win BONDI BEACH 5-2 Stan James ( rule 4 )
4.20 NAPOLEONS CASINOS AND RESTAURANTS HANDICAP 1m 4f
A disappointing turnout of just seven runners for this mile and a half contest which can go to the consistent KINEMA for trainer Alan Swinbank. The four-year-old has gone close on a number of occasions since winning at Ripon back in June and can take this at the chief expense of Captain Morley who would prove a big danger on his third in the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot last year.
Recommendation – 1 Point Win KINEMA 5-1 Betfair Sportsbook
4.55 POTTER LOGISTICS 50 GLORIOUS YEARS HANDICAP 1m
Any ease in the ground shouldn’t inconvenience the Simon Crisford runner PERIL who’s only disappointing run this season came on Kempton’s all-weather surface and still looks fairly treated on a mark of 91. The four-year-old landed a gamble to win a Ladies race at Ascot on soft ground and was again well supported when taking a Haydock handicap last weekend and is taken to follow up. The progressive Man Of Harlech could prove the chief threat along with lively outsider Yourartisonfire.
Recommendation – 1 Point each-way PERIL 6-1 Betfair Sportsbook
5.30 HARRIET DE-VERE POWELL NURSERY HANDICAP 1m
The Godolphin runner Mansfield ran green on his debut at Chelmsford City, beating only two home, but was a different proposition next time when running out a comfortable winner of a Brighton maiden but that form falls well short of what top weight MONTSARRAT has achieved. Mark Johnston’s colt looked a trifle unlucky to lose his unbeaten record when getting going too late in a competitive Goodwood nursery prior to winning narrowly at Newmarket and can give weight all around off what looks a reasonable mark of 88. Mansfield and Midhmaar can follow Silvestre de Sousa’s mount home.
Recommendation – 1 Point Win MONTSARRAT 9-4 Betfair Sportsbook