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Alan Kelly: Tips For Saturday's ITV Races


Preview & Horse Racing Tips for ITV Coverage on Saturday

With just over two weeks to go before the 2022 Cheltenham Festival gets underway, top quality may be thin on the ground at Saturday’s National Hunt meetings in Britain at Kempton Park, Newcastle and Chepstow.

Kempton does stage a trio of Grade 2 juvenile/novice races which could provide a few festival clues. But it is their 3m Coral Trophy Handicap Chase which is expected to supply the most exciting action on the card. The race dates back to 1949, was run as the Racing Post Chase between 1988 and 2011, and over the years has been won by several giants of the sport including Crisp, Pendil and Desert Orchid.

Newcastle’s marathon Eider Chase boasts a similar history, having been run since 1952. Won by subsequent Grand National winner Comply Or Die in 2008, Highland Wedding is the only horse to have won the race three times, 1966, 1967 and 1969, completing the Eider-Grand National double in that final year.

ITV Horse Racing coverage on Saturday features five races from Kempton Park, two on Lingfield’s all-weather surface, a Listed sprint along with the Group 3 Winter Derby. While the feature race at the north-east racecourse completes the afternoon’s eight-race extravaganza.

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Horse Racing Tips for all 8 ITV Races

1.15pm Kempton. 2m 4 1/2f Our Tip: One True King (e.w.) – 15/2 with bet365

Top weight Flegmatik won well on the course last time and should go well again off a 7lb higher mark, while Deyrann De Carjac will appreciate this drop in class after contesting some of the big handicap chases at Cheltenham this season.

The each-way value though could lie with Sam Twiston-Davies’ mount One True King who will be more at home on this good to soft ground after getting bogged down in the mud at Lingfield last time.

1.30pm Lingfield. 5f Our Tip: Mondammej – 9/2 with bet365

With a bit of luck in running any of the six runners could take this Listed sprint. If the Antony Brittain-trained Mondammej manages to get the breaks from his berth in stall two, the mount of Cam Hardie could have too much finishing pace for his rivals.

1.50pm Kempton. 2m Our Tip: Impulsive One (e.w.) – 7/1 with bet365

This Triumph Hurdle trial is unlikely to provide many clues to the main event on the final day of the Cheltenham Festival. Knight Salute has done nothing wrong in winning all four starts, including a couple of Grade 2 contests, while decent flat performer Pleasant Man is interesting on his first start for trainer Paul Nicholls.

Impulsive One has been beaten twice by Knight Salute this season but ran out a very impressive winner at Musselburgh earlier this month and it could prove a case of third time lucky for Nicky Henderson’s charge.

2.05pm Lingfield. 1m 2f Our Tip: Fancy Man – 5/1 with Coral

Rated at least 8lb higher than any of his seven rivals, the John & Thady Gosden-trained Lord North will be running on an artificial surface for just the second time, the first resulting in an 11 length victory in a match at Newcastle almost three years ago at odds of ⅙.

On his first start for almost a year and at a short price, the mount of Robert Havlin may be worth taking on with Fancy Man who was a comfortable winner of a trial for this race earlier in the month.

2.25pm Kempton. 2m 4 1/2f Our Tip: Minella Drama – 5/2 with Betvictor

Pic D’Orhy proved no match for Cheltenham-bound L’Homme Presse in a Sandown Grade 1 last time and will be better suited by this grade. Fantastic Lady is capable of running a big race with the advantage of the 7lb mares’ allowance. But this Grade 2 novices’ chase can go to the north in the shape of the Donald McCain-trained Minella Drama.

Runner-up in a Grade 1 hurdle at Aintree last April behind My Drogo, Brian Hughes’ mount has taken well to fences and is better than his fifth place behind Edwardstone at Sandown in December. An impressive winner at Haydock on his most recent start, the seven-year-old is fancied to see off his southern rivals.

3.00pm Kempton. 2m Our Tip: Shallwehaveonemore – 11/10 with bet365

The 5/2 available earlier in the week about the Gary Moore-trained Shallwehaveonemore looked very generous about a horse that is now trading around the even money mark.

After showing decent form in Bumpers last season, the Authorized gelding could not have been more impressive than when strolling home by 20 lengths over hurdles at Sandown earlier this month and the mount of Joshua Morre should have too much pace for main rivals Aucunrisque and Iceo.

3.15pm Newcastle. 4m 1 1/2f
Our Tip: Just Your Type (e.w.) – 12/1 with Betfair Sportsbook (6 places)

This four mile one and a half furlong marathon is not for the faint-hearted and just how many of the 17 runners manage to complete the course is open to question.

There are plenty of thorough stayers in the race however and it could be worth taking a chance on the Charlie Longsdon-trained Just Your Type at a decent price.

The 10-year-old will be running off his lowest ever chase mark and is now 9lb lower than when finishing sixth in this race in 2019, despite almost being brought-down at a crucial stage of the race.

3.37pm Kempton. 3m Our Tip: The Big Breakaway (e.w.) – 15/2 with Paddy Power

A case can be made for just about all of the 14 runners for this staying handicap chase. However, with the Colin Tizzard stable hitting a rich vein of form at the moment this could be the perfect opportunity for The Big Breakaway to finally fulfil some of his huge potential over fences.

A good effort over hurdles should have put Brendan Powell’s mount spot-on for this and if able to reproduce his course and distance form when second to Shan Blue as a novice is capable of outclassing the opposition.