Mercedes boss Toto Wolff has taken to the team’s website to say improvements to his team’s 2023 W14 car are coming. “The machine is continuing to run in Brixworth and Brackley at a fast pace. What you see on track is only the tip of the iceberg, but the performance of the car and Power Unit is made in these two factories,” he wrote.
“We will consistently be bringing upgrades to the car over the next few races, which is something to look forward to. But there is no such thing as a magic bullet that transforms the car, and it’s about being realistic with your expectations. Hopefully, we will see a steady improvement.”
In the current constructor standings, Red Bull leads the pack with 123 points. Aston Martin is second with 65. Mercedes closely follows with 56 points, while Ferrari trails with 26. Despite a slender nine-point advantage, the Aston Martin team is 6/5 favorites in the ‘Without Red Bull’ betting.
Not a Stroll in the Park for Aston Martin
For a team that has finished seventh in the standings for the past two seasons, the odds seem very short. And for a team that is powered by a Mercedes engine, it seems absurd. The manufacturer has far more resources than the customer team and the German squad is promising gradual progression – something they promised and delivered in 2022 – as the current season progresses.
Additionally, in Alonso and Stroll, Aston Martin has one proven champion and a reliable but lesser driver. Points scoring from both drivers will be vital if Aston Martin is to finish ahead of Mercedes – who are quoted at best odds of 5/4 in the ‘Without Red Bull’ betting – in the standings.
In their corner, Mercedes have multiple World Champion Lewis Hamilton and George Russell who has shown himself every part as racy and competitive as one of the sports two elder statesmen.
If looking for a sound long-term bet that excludes the invincible Red Bull team, this is surely it.
Ferrari are Deflated
Ferrari is 3/1 in the same market, but they created a lot of pre-season hype promising a very fast car. Instead, they are lagging with a mountain to climb.
And, as is the case with Stroll at Aston Martin, Carlos Sainz is clearly inferior to his teammate. Six retirements during the 2022 season – mainly due to driver error – underline his lack of reliability.
Sainz is 4/6 with the bet365 sportsbook to win a race during 2023. If they were to offer 11/8 or 5/4 on the other side of the bet – Sainz not to win a race – the advice would be a max bet.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.