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Bills v Broncos Tips: NFL Wild Card Predictions & Betting Offers
The 2025 NFL Wild Card betting action continues on Sunday, 12 January. The No. 2 Buffalo Bills welcome the No. 7 Denver Broncos to Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, and we’ve put together our Bills v Broncos tips in the form of a bet builder.
Denver and Buffalo face off for the first time since 13 November 2023, when the Broncos edged out a 24-22 victory as 7.5-point road underdogs. The Broncos aim to defy the odds again, but this time the Bills are 8.5-point home favourites on leading UK betting sites, with the total set at 47.5 points.
Bills v Broncos Tips: 13/5 Bet Builder for NFL Wild Card
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Marvin Mims Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
We successfully backed Marvin Mims in Week 18 as the Broncos crushed the Kansas City Chiefs’ backups 38-0. Mims comfortably exceeded his 29.5-yard line, recording 51 yards and two touchdowns on five receptions.
The Bills’ secondary arguably lacks speed, which the Broncos will aim to exploit by integrating Mims into their offensive strategy once more. Mims, known for his exceptional pace and ability to evade tackles, has built a strong rapport with quarterback Bo Nix in recent months.
During the regular season, Mims registered 39 receptions for 503 yards and six touchdowns, with 32 of those catches occurring in the last eight games. The Pro Bowl punt returner has amassed at least 44 receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances.
Two weeks ago, Mims dominated the Cincinnati Bengals with 103 yards and two touchdowns on eight catches. He also delivered three receptions for 105 yards and a touchdown against the Cleveland Browns in Week 13.
With Denver’s ground game remaining inconsistent, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry over the last eight games, the Broncos are likely to target Buffalo’s secondary. The Bills have conceded at least 232 passing yards in four of their last five games and rank 24th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (226.1).
Josh Allen Over 38.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Allen has enjoyed a remarkable season, benefitting from one of the most efficient pass-protection offensive lines in recent years. He was sacked just 14 times while throwing for 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns, and only six interceptions.
Allen was equally impactful on the ground, rushing 102 times for 531 yards and an impressive 12 touchdowns. The Bills were highly effective in the red zone, converting 48 of 67 attempts (2nd in the NFL), thanks largely to the combination of James Cook’s running prowess and Allen’s mobility.
Now, the Bills face one of the league’s top defensive units. The Broncos concede just 18.3 points per game (3rd in the NFL), with 96.4 rushing yards (also 3rd) and 220.7 passing yards allowed per game (19th). Denver leads the league in sacks (63) and quarterback hits (142), while ranking second in QB knockdowns (72).
This matchup will be a significant test for Buffalo’s offensive line. Denver blitzes on 29.5% of QB dropbacks (7th), presenting an opportunity for Allen to display his rushing abilities. He’s recorded at least 50 rushing yards in four of his last seven games.
The Broncos allow just 3.9 yards per carry (2nd), but containing mobile quarterbacks is a different challenge. Denver hasn’t faced many dual-threat QBs recently. In Week 15, however, Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson managed seven carries for 46 yards and a touchdown against them.
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