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Boris Johnson Resigns: Next Conservative Leader Odds


Boris Johnson has finally given up the game and announced his departure from downing street. While the departure took days, it has taken just minutes for betting markets to be formed around who will be the new leader of the Conservative Party and parachuted in to be the next Prime Minister of the country.

When this happens, who knows, but one thing is for certain, we will have a new person picking the wallpaper in number 10 very soon.

Once crucial piece of polling has already been revealed, and that is helping to shape the early betting market. A quick YouGov poll across 716 Conservative party members showed that Ben Wallace would beat Liz Truss, Penny Mordaunt, Rishi Sunk and Jeremy Hunt in a head-to-head battle, which is what will happen between the last two remaining candidates when the vote goes out to members.

On the back of that Paddy Power have installed Ben Wallace as 9/4 favourite, which implies he has a 30.8% chance of becoming leader. Rishi Sunak, former Chancellor, is the second favourite at 4/1, giving him a 20% chance of being leader. Go back a couple of years, and many believed he would be the next leader of the party, whenever the opportunity came around, however the YouGov poll suggests he would lose to Wallace, Truss and Mordaunt in a head-to-head battle.

Rounding off the runners and riders in behind we have Penny Mordaunt at 5/1 (16.7% chance), Liz Truss at 7/1 (12.5% chance) and Sajid Javid, who quit at Health Secretary on Tuesday, is 10/1.

Dominic Raab, Jeremy Hunt and Nadhim Zahawi are other names that people will recognise in the betting list and are all available at 14/1 (6.7% chance).

It is expected that in the coming days, leadership bids will be announced, and the wide range of potential winners will be narrowed down.

*Odds correct at time of writing

Craig Jones

Craig Jones

US Sports lover and watcher of the EFL, Craig will guide you through the NFL, NHL and English football