Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur will do battle at Wembley in the Capital One Cup Final on Sunday 1st March, we preview the game from a betting perspective using recent trends.
Chelsea earned a place in their 7th League Cup Final by beating Bolton, Shrewsbury and Derby before needing extra-time to secure a 2-1 aggregate win over fellow Premier League side Liverpool in the semi-final. Meanwhile Spurs knocked out Mansfield Town, West Ham United, Leyton Orient and MK Dons before making heavy weather of their semi-final against League 1 Sheffield United, the second leg going to extra-time at Bramall Lane where they finally overcame the underdogs 2-3 on aggregate.
Who Will Win?
The sides have already met twice this season in the Premier League with Chelsea recording a comfortable 3-0 victory at Stamford Bridge, before Tottenham finally got the better of the Blues at Whitehart Lane in an epic 5-3 thriller. Spurs will no doubt take heart from that performance and as this game is a repeat of the 2008 final which they won 2-1 after extra-time, they may also believe that they can beat the odds to lift the cup once again.
They will however, be facing a truly talented Chelsea squad and it’s the Blues who edge the head to head stats with 57 victories compared to Tottenham’s 44, while the remaining 33 matches ended level.
Chelsea have only lost 3 of their previous 21 matches with Tottenham, including just 1 of the last 11 meetings, so anyone fancying the underdogs may be inclined to stick to the outright market here, as beating Chelsea in 90 minutes will be no easy task.
Will There Be Goals?
Just 1 of the previous 25 matches between these London rivals has produced a bore-draw, so the prospects of an entertaining game are good. Indeed, 7 of the last 10 meetings have produced at least three goals, so a bet on Over 2.5 Goals would seem likely to click.
A repeat of the 8-goal thriller when these sides last met would be nice, but teams tend to be a little more conservative games of such magnitude and lets not forget these sides are reasonably well matched. Still, only 3 of their previous 10 encounters has seen one team fail to find the net, so it would be no surprise if a bet on Both Teams To Score were to come in.
Who Will Score?
Diego Costa earned himself a suspension for some questionable conduct against Liverpool in the semi-final, but that will not affect his participation in the Capital One Cup Final and the Spaniard must be high any punter’s list for First Goalscorer purposes.
Eden Hazard has penalty duties and has been contributing to Chelsea’s goal tally from open play, so is worthy of consideration, while the less obvious Oscar can pop up with the odd goal and is worth a market check on the day if starting the game.
Tottenham’s Harry Kane has come on leaps and bounds this season and will be a popular selection for those anticipating Spurs to score first. Spurs’ best chance of a goal though, could be from a set piece situation and they have a dead ball specialist in Christian Eriksen who may be able to back at more generous odds, while Nacer Chadli has been chipping in with a few goals from midfield and therefore also enters calculations.