TV: The Formbook Makes Dancing on Ice 2022 a Lot Easier to Predict

Bez "Dancing On Ice" Practice Session At Escape To Freight Island MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 12: Bez and his winning partner Angela Egan pose after being the first to skate on the ice during homecoming Manchester ice skate, a practice session for "Dancing On Ice" on the new ice skating rink at Escape to Freight Island on November 12, 2021 in Manchester, England. (Photo by Anthony Devlin/Getty Images)

Dancing on Ice is the first TV game show of 2022 that bookmakers can get excited about.

Much to the delight of six million-plus viewers and a lot of devoted TV/specials punters, the 14th series of this ITV show will kick-off on Sunday, January 16 at 6.30pm.

Each week, the celebrity candidates and their professional partners will skate live in front of the panel and the fans at home, who will eventually determine who wins the competition.

2022 Dancing On Ice Contestants & Best Odds (via bet365*)

  • 10/3 Brendan Cole
  • 9/2 Liberty Poole
  • 6/1 Regan Gascoigne
  • 7/1 Kimberly Wyatt
  • 8/1 Rachel Stevens
  • 9/1 Kye Whyte
  • 10/1 Ben Foden
  • 12/1 Connor Ball
  • 14/1 Stef Reid
  • 25/1 Ria Hebden
  • 33/1 Sally Dynevor
  • 40/1 Bez

* Odds via bet365, subject to changes.

What happened last year?

Last year’s winner was Sonny Jay. The 28-year-old radio presenter and singer was 16/1 in the ante-post betting lists. But that was pre-event, before any contestant appeared in the ice for the public to judge.

It’s a fact that this show – like programmes of a similar ilk such as Strictly Come Dancing – are never won by a novelty act or a moderate performer. The cream always rises to the top.

The Sexist Formbook

So, where do we start when trying to identify the 2022 winner? A look through the record books shows male contestants have a vastly superior record to their female counterparts. In the last ten years, male contestants have won this show eight times.

Those formbooks also show that soap-stars and actors have an outstanding record. This is explained by the bulk of these entertainers having dancing experience through their time spent at stage school.

Finally, age is an all-important feature amongst the list of previous winners. Almost certainly the winner will be under 40. This immediately means Coronation Street’s Sally Webster, AKA Sally Dynevor, can be left out. She is 58. Likewise, put a line through 57-year-old Happy Mondays dancer Bez.

Sports Stars Set Aside

A gymnast has won Dancing on Ice once before – that was Beth Tweddle in 2013 – similarly only one athlete has scored. Consequently, we are throwing Rugby’s Ben Foden, BMX racer Kye White and paralympic star Stef Reid out of our calculations.

And so here who is left:

  • Brendan Cole, a former Strictly Come Dancing pro
  • Connor Ball, bassist and singer in The Vamps
  • Kimberly Wyatt, Pussycat Dolls singer and dancer
  • Liberty Poole, Love Island contestant
  • Regan Gascoigne, professional dancer
  • Ria Hebden, TV presenter

Two Against the Field

At the prices we can back two. The first suggestion is Regan Gascoigne. The least known of all contestants – his claim to fame is a footballing father – but as a dancer aged 25, he should be able to grasp wearing skates quickly and easily.

Interestingly bet365* and Coral are offering 7/1 about the contestant but William Hill are a far more cautious 3/1.

Brendan Cole is 45 so he is regrettably passed by.

Kimberly Wyatt is female (recall the poor record), so our second selection has to be Connor Ball. Another 25-year-old, he has acting experience which may indicate he has had some kind of dance training at some point of his life. 16/1 (at Betfred) is a fair enough price and punters can do little damage if my theories prove incorrect.

* Dancing on Ice betting odds 2022 correct at the time of publication. All odds subject to changes.