Having advised Foundry at 25-1 for the Ladbrokes St Leger straight after York’s Great Voltigeur Stakes and again at 10-1 the following week we certainly appear to have at least obtained decent value as the mount of Ryan Moore is now no bigger than 11-2 for the final Classic of the season this afternoon.
While the Group 1 contest at 3.50pm is all about class and stamina the big betting race of the day is the Ladbroke Portland Handicap at 2.40pm and the extended 5f race is all about speed. With only 8lb covering the whole field of 22 runners, rather than look for a well-handicapped sprinter it could pay just to determine which is the best horse in the race under the prevailing conditions, and to my mind the horse that fits that category is the Kevin Ryan-trained Bogart.
The mount of Neil Callan did us a big favour when landing our nap in York’s Symphony Group Stakes at the Ebor Festival last time out and now that the son of Bahamian Bounty, who was recently gelded, has recaptured his two-year-old form which included two valuable Sales races the four-year-old, despite the burdon of 9st 8lb, could be extremely well-handicapped for a horse who may well be up to winning at Group level and rates a value bet at the 10-1 available with Betfred.
The two main dangers look to be last year’s winner Doc Hay from the in-form David O’Meara stable and Steps who has been a model of consistency this year and deserves to land a decent handicap before the end of the season. Like Bogart both horses are on offer at 10-1 although the latter can be backed at 11-1 with William Hill and rates a fair each-way alternative to our selection.