Delhi Capitals v Mumbai Indians
TATA Indian Premier League
Sunday March 27, 2022
Brabourne Stadium, Mumbai (11am UK)
The first of the day’s two fixtures is between a Delhi side who have reached the play-offs in each of the last three years against a Mumbai side who are five-time champions but failed to make it out of the group stages last year.
Dating back to the 2010 and 2014 editions of the IPL, Mumbai have won six of their eight games played at this venue.
The fact that no recorded T20 cricket has been played at this venue since 2015 makes it a difficult venue to read.
I suspect Mumbai will win, though on this occasion I will be steering clear of the 4/5 price on offer from a lot of firms as I do think Delhi could cause them some damage.
It’s just the likely lack of David Warner for this fixture which makes me think Rohit Sharma and co will open with a victory. But I don’t say with too much confidence, so I will look elsewhere for some value.
Killer Kishan key to Indians’ success
Indian star Ishan Kishan is some player. The left-handed wicketkeeper batter was one who Mumbai bent over backwards to re-sign in February’s auction.
He ended up as the most expensive player who went under the hammer, fetching an approximate £1.5m.
But you can see why. Here is a swashbuckling opener with two T20 career centuries to his name plus an IPL best of 99.
I expect him to shine in this fixture, on the back of some productive form in last month’s series of T20 home internationals for India against the West Indies and Sri Lanka when he produced scores of 35, 34 and 89.
Instead of picking him as Mumbai’s top batter for the match in a competitive field which includes Rohit Sharma – incidentally, he is 11/4 with bet365 – I would prefer to take the 3/1 the same company are offering on him to score a half-century.
Better odds, and if he doesn’t score a fifty, I don’t see him top-scoring anyway.
I am also quite interested in the 9/1 betfair are offering on Kishan to be player of the match.
Punjab Kings v Royal Challengers Bangalore
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, Mumbai (3pm UK)
As you may have seen from my IPL tournament preview earlier this week, I have predicted that these will be the two teams who make the final in a couple of months. So I can’t wait for this clash.
It is a similar situation to the above game when looking at the match winner. I think Bangalore will get off to a winning start, though the 4/5 on offer just doesn’t tempt me enough when considering Punjab’s quality.
Bet365’s player performance mark seems low for all-action Livingstone
He is priced up at 5/6 over or under 29.5.
It is 20 points per wicket, 10 points per catch and one point per run, and I would have expected him to be up with the 34.5 they have offered on Bangalore’s Glenn Maxwell, who isn’t actually playing due to his wedding.
Considering Livingstone’s three-dimensional game, you would have to say over that 29.5 is the most likely outcome.
He bats, bowls and fields superbly.
Yes there will be pressure on him to live up to his £1m plus auction fee which Punjab splashed out, but the Lancashire man can certainly live up to it.
He is also worth consideration at 17/2 to be Punjab’s top bowler with bet365, a price considerably higher than betfair’s 6/1 for example.