Punters Guide To Royal Ascot 2014 - Day Four

Top racing tipster Alan Kelly gives his analysis and opinion on day four of the 2014 Royal Ascot meeting in this punters guide.

2.30 ALBANY STAKES – With 24 two-year-old unexposed fillies, nine of which are unbeaten, this 6f contest requires more than a little guesswork but the form horse is surely the David Evans-trained PATIENCE ALEXANDER who beat Queen Mary runner-up Tiggy Wiggy in a Listed York race last month, a performance which sets the standard. US Challenger SUNSET GLOW is difficult to evaluate but comes from a stable that had an impressive 2-year-old winner on the first day and has to be respected along with the likes of BITTER LAKE, ELITE GARDENS and SEXY LEGS but the choice is the Richard Fahey-trained dual winner BOND’S GIRL, the mount of Richard Hughes. The daughter of Monsieur Bond won a Beverley maiden on her debut before beating a well-regarded John Gosden hotpot at Pontefract and from stall 23 shouldn’t be far away. ADVICE – 1 POINT EACH-WAY BOND’S GIRL – 16-1 PADDY POWER

3.05 WOLFERTON HANDICAP – Providing she is not inconvenienced by the 1m 2f trip last year’s QIPCO 1000 Guineas runner-up JUST THE JUDGE is more than capable of conceding weight all round off a mark of 108. The mount of Jamie Spencer got no sort of a run when finishing best of all when third in Epsom’s Group 3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes, and the daughter of Lawman bypassed yesterday’s Duke Of Cambridge Stakes to run here. Biggest danger is likely to come from the Sir Michael Stoute runner BOLD SNIPER who ran well on his seasonal reappearance at Newmarket and is open to plenty of improvement. ADVICE – 2 POINTS EACH-WAY JUST THE JUDGE – 10-1 CORAL and WILLIAM HILL

3.45 KING EDWARD V11 STAKES – After winning the Lingfield Derby trial SNOW SKY was quietly fancied to run well at Epsom but had to miss the race due to a minor setback, something which could turn out to be a blessing in disguise given the impressive performance put up by Australia and runner-up Kingston Hill. WESTERN HYMN had beaten Michael Stoute’s charge earlier in the season but may struggle to confirm the form after having his limitations exposed in the Derby but the one to beat comes from Ballydoyle in the shape of ADELAIDE. Runner up in a Longchamp Group 2 on only his second start the Galileo colt went on to comfortably win Group 3 contest at the Curragh and looks a good prospect from a powerful yard. ADVICE – 2 POINTS WIN ADELAIDE – 11-4 SKYBET and WILLIAM HILL

4.25 CORONATION STAKES – The day’s highlight looks a great renewal and despite the fact that the QIPCO 1000 Guineas winner Miss France is not among the field of 12 most of the principles from that Classic lock horns once again headed by runner-up LIGHTNING THUNDER and MY TITANIA, who had to miss Newmarket due to a setback for which she had been strongly fancied. RIZEENA failed to run up to her best there while LUCKY KRISTALE pulled far too hard in the early stages to stand any chance of staying the trip but could go well at a big price if jockey Richard Hughes can settle the George Margarson-trained filly. EURO CHARLIE could go well for trainer Marco Botti but it could be worth chancing Jamie Spencer’s mount KIYOSHI on her seasonal debut. The daughter of Dubawi was so impressive in winning last season’s Albany Stakes, the form of which has worked out really well, and providing she is ready to do herself justice in her first race since last September is capable of surprising some better fancied rivals. ADVICE – 1 POINT EACH-WAY KIYOSHI – 12-1 BETVICTOR, STAN JAMES and CORAL

5.00 QUEEN’S VASE – This two mile stamina test looks to rest between CENTURY, HARTNELL and MARZOCCO. Last year’s winning trainer Aidan O’Brien saddles Century who finished fourth in Chester’s Dee Stakes last time and may well improve for the step up in trip while Mark Johnston who usually has multiple entries in the race will rely on Hartnell on this occasion. A two length second to Snow Sky in the Lingfield Derby trial the mount of Joe Fanning is crying out for a longer trip and providing the ground Isn’t too firm the son of Authorized should take some beating. The other major player is John Gosden’s Marzocco who has gone down in two photo finishes since winning his only start as a 2-year-old and runs like a horse who is crying out for a stamina test. ADVICE – 2 POINTS WIN HARTNELL – 7-2 GENERALLY

5.35 BUCKINGHAM PALACE STAKES – On paper a tricky looking 29-runner seven furlong handicap in which many are capable of running well including FORT KNOX, HORSTED KEYNES, HILLBILLY BOY and BRONZE ANGEL but it is quite possible that the Sir Michael Stoute runner RUSSIAN REALM could be a Group horse masquerading as a handicapper. Time may prove that the Dansili colt is thrown in off a mark of 96 and despite the competitive nature of the race is easily the one to beat. The mount of Ryan Moore was ante-post favourite for Wednesday’s Royal Hunt Cup but missed the race in favour of this, such is the confidence behind the 4-year-old colt. ADVICE – 2 POINTS WIN RUSSIAN REALM – 11-2 WILLIAM HILL