Recommended Bet:
3.30pm Kempton (Monday) – Double Spin to win
The Winners Welcome at Matchbook Exchange Maiden Fillies’ Stakes at 3.30pm at Kempton Park on Monday afternoon is a 7 furlong contest for three-year-old maiden fillies.
A field of nine horses will go to post, with John Gosden’s Double Spin looking a stand out horse racing tip to win at the first time of asking after a break.
A well bred filly by Hard Spun, Double Spin’s dam was a smart juvenile in France over 6f-1m who won at Listed class so the quality is there in her pedigree (this is her first foal) to suggest she can compete at a good level.
Under the jockeyship of the great Frankie Dettori, Double Spin went off a well supported 3/1 chance that day, over this course and distance, and showed plenty of promise, despite being hampered by the winner during the race.
It is unlikely she’s had any injury keeping her off the race track, as John Gosden is well known to give many of his youngsters plenty of time to learn and grow without over-racing them as juveniles; unless they’re the type to thrive as two-year-olds, but offspring of Hard Spun tend to get better with age.
Double Spin posted a solid Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 72 on her debut and it is perfectly reasonable to expect an improved effort on her return to action here. That should be enough to see her get the job done under Andrea Atzeni.
John Gosden hasn’t been sending out too many runners over the last couple of weeks, but has sent in one winner from his five runners in that time period.
The Newmarket handler has an excellent 22% record with all of his runners around Kempton Park and he does like to use the track as a learning ground for plenty of his up and comers.
Double Spin fits the bill as the type to win a race of this nature first time out before going onto better things.
Clive Cox’s newcomer Global Alexander could prove the main danger as she too looks the part on paper, but she’ll need to be sharp to beat Double Spin.