Despite the fact that his only outing since March 2011 resulted in a well-beaten ninth in a York handicap last month the John Quinn-trained Recession Proof looks excellent value at the 25-1 on offer with Bet365, who are quoting each-way terms of a quarter the odds the first five, for Saturday’s Betfred Cesarewitch at Newmarket, the second leg of the autumn double.
The 7-year-old races off an attractive Flat mark of 80 and will think he has been let loose in the 2m 2f marathon with only 8st 2lb on his back for the trainer who went close to winning this valuable handicap in 2012 with another classy hurdler in the shape of this year’s Champion Hurdle third Countrywide Flame who found only Aiam To Prosper a half length too good 12 month’s ago.
Recession Proof has an official rating of 136 over the smaller obstacles courtesy of a number of excellent efforts including a victory over Bothy in the 2011 Totesport Trophy at Newbury, a run that was followed by a highly creditable fifth in the Stan James Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. Beaten a total of eight lengths in that Grade 1 contest, form which looks even more impressive given the fact the the four horses who finished in front of the son of Rock Of Gibraltar were Al Ferof, Spirit Son, Sprinter Sacre and Cue Card. Spirit Son has only been seen once since that run when slamming a quality field at Aintree while the other three have gone on to land massive prizes over fences, particularly Sprinter Sacre who has since earned legendary status as one of the greatest chaser’s of the modern era.
That York run, Recession Proof’s first for two and a half year’s, should have put the horse spot-on for Saturday’s Heritage Handicap and while there is no guarantee that the horse, who has obviously had his injury problems, will run up to the exalted level of form shown in the past over hurdles off such a low weight is definitely worth chancing for possibly the most competitive race for stayer’s run all season.
Recommendation: Recession Proof – 25/1 E/W 5 Places Bet365