St Leger Meeting At Doncaster – Betting Guide For Day 3
1.55 FLY AER LINGUS FROM DONCASTER SHEFFIELD FLYING CHILDERS STAKES (GROUP 2) 5f
9 Runners for this juvenile speed test headed by the well-travelled Richard Hannon-trained / Frankie Dettori-ridden Gutaifan who sets the standard following a victory over subsequent Gimcrack winner Ajaya in the Prix Robert Papin at Maisons-Laffitte (Areen two lengths back in third) before running leading two-year-old Shalaa to a length and three quarters in Deauville’s Group 1 Prix Morny last month. The son of Dark Angel is clearly the one to beat on those two efforts but the ground could be a lot quicker on this occasion and is probably worth taking on at a short price.
Bear Cheek has the beating of Independence Day on their last run at the Curragh but difficult to know how strong the form of that Group 3 is while Log Out Island has been disappointing after a promising start to the season. Shadow Hunter ran out a shock 33-1 winner at York’s Ebor meeting last time beating subsequent scorer Rouleau and Kurland but it could be worth chancing the fourth horse home on that occasion ORNATE who went off a short priced favourite on the Knavesmire but didn’t get the best of runs and the highly-regarded William Haggas-trained colt can prove better than that run with a clear passage.
Recommendation – 1 Point each-way ORNATE – 7-1 William Hill
2.30 LADBROKES MALLARD STAKES (Handicap) 1m 6f 132y
Only 10 runners but impossible to totally discount any of the participants. Top weight Forgotten Voice looks to have a stiff task in having to should 10st despite going close at Glorious Goodwood off just a 1lb lower mark.
The handicapper looks to have the measure of the Keith Dalgleish-trained Pressure Point who will be attempting to win for the fifth time this season while it is hard to see Polarisation confirming his head victory over Not Never at York on 9lb worse terms. Hugo Palmer’s charge could take plenty of beating if allowed an easy lead up front but the suggestion is the Roger Varian-trained BATTERSEA who is only 7lb higher than when running out a comfortable winner of an ultra-competitive valuable handicap at Ascot last September. Well held in third there was leading Irish St Leger fancy Agent Murphy with a host of talented rivals including Second Step, Hidden Gold and Gold Cup winner Trip To Paris well behind. The Galileo colt should be spot on after a couple of fair efforts this season and will appreciate the better ground on Town Moor.
Recommendation – 2 Points each-way BATTERSEA – 11-2 William Hill
3.05 SOCIALITES E-CIGARETTES EXPERT DONCASTER CUP (GROUP 2) 2m 2f
Not the classiest of renewals but certainly one of the most open with bookmakers currently going 5-1 the field. Times Up, winner in both 2012 and 2013, has been in desperate form this season and hard to see Ed Dunlop’s runner scoring for a third time while Taws looks up against it in this company.
Last year’s 80-1 third Kalann would have a chance if reproducing that effort while Havana Beat can not be written off on his run in the Yorkshire Cup. Seamore is an improving stayer who can take the step up in class in his stride and the likes of Clondaw Warrior, Fun Mac, Pallasator, Suegioo and William Of Orange are all capable of going close but it is worth giving one more chance to SIMENON who deserves to win a decent prize and will find this easier than most of the races he has contested over the last few seasons. Fourth in the 2013 Melbourne Cup the eight-year-old has failed to produce his best the last twice but will appreciate stepping back up in trip and just needs to run up to his two length fourth in the Ascot Gold Cup to take this.
Recommendation – 1 Point each-way SIMENON – 10-1 Coral (money back if beaten a length or less)
3.40 1STSECURITYSOLUTIONS.CO.UK MAY HILL STAKES (GROUP 2) 1m
No outstanding contender for this Group 2 contest for two-year-old fillies with the lightly-raced Godolphin runner Pure Diamond the likely market leader based on her impressive victory in a Kempton maiden after finishing lame on her Goodwood debut. Hugo Palmer’s Hawksmoor looked exposed when 6th of 7 in a Newmarket Group 2 contest but bounced back to win a Goodwood Group 3 with Light Up Our World back in third. Maiden winner Gypsy Eyes is unexposed while Irish raider Turret Rocks boasts solid form but this can go to the Richard Hannon-trained MARENKO who has the beating of several of these and found only stablemate Great Page a neck too good at Deauville last time.
Recommendation – 1 Point each-way MARENKO – 7-1 bet365 (¼ odds)
4.15 COOPERS MARQUEES HANDICAP 6f 110y
With doubts surrounding many of the 12 runners in this sprint handicap the two to concentrate on are Stewards’ Cup runner-up Toofi and the consistent SHORE STEP with marginal preference for the latter. Mick Channon’s five-year-old has been in decent form all season and only needs to run up to any of his last three starts to go close in this weaker contest. The top weight is a big danger if reproducing his Goodwood form while bottom weight Navigate can prove best of the rest.
Recommendation – 1 Point each-way SHORE STEP – 4-1 William Hill
4.50 WEATHERBYS STALLION BOOK FLYING SCOTSMAN STAKES 7f
Only 6 runners but hard to rule any out. Welford and Squash are the most experienced but now quite exposed whereas Mohab’s Acomb Stakes fifth is probably the best form on offer. However Haalik, Tashweeq and WALL OF FIRE have all posted maiden victories the most impressive being that of the Hannon runner who, on a line through Justice Law looks the one to beat.
Recommendation – 1 Point Win WALL OF FIRE – 9-2 William Hill