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Last year the Oscars were the most predictable in living history. That sentiment only applies to a bookmaker’s perspective. Of the 23 awards, 21 of those that they made favorite collected a statue.
The biggest-priced winner of the other two categories was The Windshield Wiper in the relatively obscure Best Animated Short category. It scored at 6/1 but, a big betting event this one is not!
Of course, the jewel in the Academy Awards crown is the Best Motion Picture. This year’s favourite is Everything Everywhere All At Once, a relatively low-budget ($14 million) comedy-drama.
Will Everything Win Anything?
With a table-topping 11 nominations, this film is sure to collect some trophies and Best Motion Picture is one of them. Everything Everywhere All At Once is top-price 4/7 with William Hill to win the award.
Martin McDonagh’s dark Irish comedy The Banshees of Inisherin is another movie with a heap of nominations – nine in total – and it trades as 2/1 second favourite for Best Motion Picture.
Steven Spielberg’s The Fabelmans is next in the betting on 10/1 while Tom Cruise fans can find some 12/1 about Top Gun: Maverick. There are six other films in this category but the firms go 33/1 All Quiet On The Western Front, 40/1 Tar and 100/1 bar.
Like The Banshees of Inisherin, All Quiet on the Western Front has received nine Oscar nominations. Elvis has eight and The Fablemans follow with seven.
Best Motion Picture Odds
- 4/7 Everything Everywhere All At Once
- 2/1 The Banshees of Inisherin
- 10/1 The Fabelmans
- 12/1 Top Gun: Maverick
- 33/1 All Quiet On The Western Front
- 40/1 Tar
- 100/1 Elvis
- 100/1 Avatar - The Way of Water
- 100/1 Triangle of Sadness
- 100/1 Women Talking
Irish Eyes Are Smiling
We believe The Banshees of Inisherin will struggle to beat the favourite in the Best Picture category but the Irish film can still scoop a shed load of little gold statues on March 12th – presentation night.
Ireland is celebrating a record 14 Oscar nominations. Five of those are amongst the 20 spots reserved for actors and actresses. It is an amazing haul. Britain has just two Academy Award nominations – in total!
Farrell Can Upset the Best Actor Favourite
Brendan Fraser starring in The Whale – a film that has just three Oscar nominations – is 8/11 to win the Best Actor award. It is too short. Fraser failed to win the Golden Globe (for Best Performance in a Motion Picture – Drama) at the beginning of January.
But Colin Farrell collected the Golden Globe (Best Performance in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy) for his role in Banshees of Inisherin and the history books indicate this is the strongest form-line of all.
Our advice is to back the Irishman at 11/4 with BetVictor. And don’t stop there. Two actors from The Banshees of Inisherin have nominations in the Best Supporting Actor category. It is rare and they will do well to overcome the 1/10 favourite, Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once).
This underlines the quality of the acting in Banshees of Inisherin. So, while supporting either would be a stretch of the imagination, it is easy to see Kerry Condon landing odds of 5/2 in the Best Supporting Actress category.
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Oscars 2023 - Best Supporting Actress
Kerry Condon could scoop the Best Supporting Actress award
At 5/2 a £10 bet would return £35
The 95th Academy Awards
March 13, 2023
12:00 am GMT
Spielberg to Collect Overdue Director Award
In all, Banshees of Inisherin can win four Oscars – although three is more likely – but director Martin McDonagh (9/1) could miss out. In the Best Director category, Everything Everywhere All At Once’s joint directors amusingly both called Daniel and listed as ‘Daniels’ (Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert) is odds on at 8/11.
The nap selection is Steven Spielberg his The Fabelmans. Forever associated with 1975s Jaws and 1982′s E.T., the director’s films have received 75 Golden Globe nominations and 22 Oscars nominations and have collected 16 awards including three Oscars. Vitally, the most recent of those came in January when The Fablemans won Best Motion Picture and Spielberg got his third ‘Best Director’ at the Golden Globes.
Scooping the Best Director award at both awards ceremonies is not uncommon. Vitally, in a film that pays homage to the man himself (his childhood), the Academy voters could decide the legendary director is overdue the accolade.
Spielberg last won a Best Director Oscar in 1999 for Saving Private Ryan. The only other time he was given the award was in 1994 for Schindler’s List. As we say, he is well overdue. But, vitally, Everything Everywhere All At Once does not represent the type of film that votes have gravitated towards in this Best Director category in recent years.
Oscars 2023 - Best Director
Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) is well overdue an Oscars win
At 5/2 a £10 bet would return £35
The 95th Academy Awards
March 13, 2023
12:00 am GMT
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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