Author: Will Smith
Published: 22:16 18/02/2014
Napping a Venetia Williams trained horse at the moment doesn’t take a huge amount of foresight or reading between the lines, and while generally the bookies are understandably wary of anything she runs, a winner is a winner. Despite being favourite in most of the early price lists for Ludlow’s 4.15 on Wednesday, Take The Mick looked big at the opening show of 7/2 at bet365 and was quickly cut to 3/1.
All nine of his races have suggested that 3m, soft ground and fences will see him in his best light. Tomorrow is the first time he gets all these factors in his favour, and Venetia has managed to get him in a very winnable 0-105 conditional jockeys’ handicap off a rating of 101.
He has two further entries at staying trips in the next five days, where he would of course appear without a penalty if he won at the Shropshire track. It bears uncanny resemblance to last year’s winner of this race, Jupiter Rex, who took this as the third leg of an amazing seven race winning streak for the very same trainer.
The son of Ishiguru’s chasing debut came at Ludlow a month ago, where he was continually inconvenienced by the errant left-handed jumping of favourite Bincombe. No sooner had he begun to get the better of that tussle, than handicap snip of the season so far, Evan Williams’ Buywise sweeped past to win by an eased down seven lengths. Buywise has won twice since, latterly off a mark of 120 as opposed to 102 when beating Take The Mick, and strongly suggested he could defy a rise again.
Next time, he was sent off an incredibly well backed 13/8 favourite at Doncaster despite a drop in trip and a switch to better ground. Both off which would have been against him, and yet he nearly defied these negative factors.
Those two runs signified to me that Venetia had yet another well handicapped horse on her hands – a 6lb rise shouldn’t stop him – and he could well run up a Jupiter Rex-style sequence, beginning with the Ludlow 4.15.
Ludlow 4.15 – Take The Mick 3/1 (bet365)