Arsene Wenger’s men need to pick up three points against the Toffees and hope that Middlesbrough spring a surprise on Liverpool at Anfield.
The Gunners come into this match arguably in the best form they’ve been in all season, having picked up maximum points from their last four games. Everton, on the other hand, have been more of a mixed bag recently. They beat Watford at home last time out but that was after successive defeats to Chelsea and Swansea City.
More often than not, Everton fail to beat a side above them in the league, but they have beaten Arsenal already this season – 2-0 back in December – while they also showed their true potential when they demolished Manchester City 4-0 in January. However, both of those victories came at home and Ronald Koeman’s side continue to experience nothing but misery and frustration on the road. They are winless in their last seven away games and have actually managed only one win on the road against team above them since 2011/12 – a thoroughly miserable record.
Poor defensive displays against the top sides also seems to be a recurring theme for the Merseyside club this season. They have conceded three to Chelsea, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur since Christmas and shipped five when they visited Stamford Bridge back in November. Unless there are dramatic improvements for the last day of the season, Arsenal will be relishing the chance to record an emphatic victory and end what has been a disappointing campaign on a high, even if they don’t manage to secure a top-four place.
The North London club have certainly been impressive at the Emirates Stadium though, winning 13 of their 18 with eight coming by at least a two-goal margin. They’ve also kept four consecutive clean sheets in the league at home, so it’s difficult to see Everton getting much joy, so Arsenal to win by exactly two goals at 30/11 is looking like a great bet at this stage with bookmaker Bet365.
Better yet, Arsenal are 6/1 to win 2-0, which is a pretty good price considering they have won both of their most recent games at home by the same scoreline.
It’s also worth looking at Alexis Sanchez and Romelu Lukaku as first goal-scorers. After his brace against Sunderland, Sanchez is now just one goal behind the Belglan striker in the scoring charts and will be determined to round off an impressive individual campaign with another brace and pip the Everton man to the Golden Boot. It’s currently 7/2 for both players to score. Wenger might be minded to give his Chilean forward some rest before the FA Cup final, however, so he is unlikely to play all 90 minutes, even if he is chasing the Golden Boot.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 20 Premier League games at home against Everton (W16 D4), which is their longest ever unbeaten streak against a side in the competition, but Koeman did get the better of Wenger earlier in the season and will hope the Toffees can complete their first league double over Arsenal since the 1985/86. With current form, the current race for the top-four and history, though, it’s difficult seeing anything other than three points for Arsenal here.