Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid – Backing an away win and under 2.5 goals at 11/2 with Coral
May 08, 2017
Atletico Madrid’s new found ability to compete with city rivals Real Madrid should have set this semi final tie up excellently. But the continued dominance from Los Blancos in the Champions League doesn’t make the current situation all that surprising either.
Real have played Atletico in the competition in the last three years, including two finals and a quarter final, and come out victorious each time. Cristiano Ronaldo’s hattrick at the Santiago Bernabeu last week has almost put this tie to bed.
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In one regard, given how closely fought the previous European meetings were, it is a surprise that Real have been so dominant. Diego Simeone has built his success at Atletico on a strong defence and great desire to win, but in the La Liga meeting back in November, the counter attacking abilities of Zinedine Zidane’s men led to a 3-0 win and doubts over the long-term future of Atletico’s manager.
It is hard to see Simeone setting up a team truly capable of dragging themselves back into this tie, not only because of their strength lying more with the defensive side of the game, but the aforementioned quality of their opponents on the counter attack. If Atletico push on too much, space will appear in behind and the tie will become even tougher.
Usually, they attack and defend as a unit, leaving very little space across the pitch. That requires pressure from each player, which didn’t come last week from midfielder Saul in particular.
But interestingly, Zidane will likely set his team up to be defensively strong first, too, especially in the continued absence of Gareth Bale. The Frenchman did this in the first leg of their semi final against Manchester City, and he will likely put the onus onto Atletico to attack.
That would result in a rather slow, tactical battle and would not likely see many goals. Our Champions League betting tip for this one is a low-scoring away win to compound Atletico misery with Coral.