“There are no easy games any longer in international football” and England aim to test that theory against rank outsiders Lithuania at Wembley on Sunday.
England will be massive favourites whatever the result against the old enemy Germany in midweek in Dortmund. However, for me they are virtually unbackable at HUGE ODDS ON 2-15 best with betway.
Therefore, we go looking for value elsewhere as I believe the visitors can put up a real fight at Wembley, despite losing comprehensively 4-0 on their one and only visit so far in 2015.
Lithuania are 40-1 outsiders with Betfair to spring the mother of all shocks. Nevertheless, they almost managed this against Scotland only last October before letting in a last-minute equaliser. They are no mugs; they’ve lost only one of four qualifiers, a 4-0 defeat in Slovakia last time out.
Around 100,000 Lithuanians now officially live in the UK, so the visitors are sure to be roared on by a fervent support at Wembley. Therefore, I’m backing the visitors to keep it tight until the break, before England edge a win in the second half – the Draw HT England Win FT at 18-5 with bet victor appeals. I am also strangely drawn to the HT goalless score of 31-10 with the same company.
England strikers Jamie Vardy and the recalled Jermaine Defoe cannot be split at 19-5 for the first goal with bet victor.
However, I especially like the visitors on the handicap +2 at a decent 39-20 with betstars, and definitely handicap +3 with skybet at 4-5 as England are made to work very hard for their narrow win.