Champion Hurdle Tip: Un De Sceaux Non Runner No Bet
This weekend saw the last remaining recognised trials for the Champion Hurdle, with four of the eleven entrants having a spin. For many, it will have done nothing to alter the outcome of the big one, as the only horse in single figure prices, My Tent Or Yours, had nothing more than a canter around in a jumper’s bumper.
Should all the main protagonists arrive fit and well on the day then it promises to be a showstopper. The head of the market is extremely strong, and so it should be. However, there is some value to be had, especially with Boylesports or Paddy Power, who are ‘non runner, no bet’ for the main event on the opening day of the festival.
Both firms have pushed out Hurricane Fly’s stablemate Un De Sceaux after his romp in the Red Mills Hurdle at Gowran Park on Saturday. He must be backed each-way at 14/1 for a number of reasons.
Firstly, he looks like an absolute machine of a horse. Yes he hasn’t beaten much in all five of his hurdle wins, but the times have been good and it is more the impression that he has created that sticks in the mind.
It is hard to imagine even those at the top of the Champion Hurdle market creating similar effervescent thoughts if faced with the simple tasks that Un De Sceaux has.
Secondly, on a recent and mightily informative appearance on Racing UK’s ‘half-term report’, Ruby Walsh had a rare twinkle in his eye when asked if he would consider riding Un De Sceaux in the race ahead of Hurricane Fly. Of course he stopped short of saying yes or no, but confirmed the impression that Un De Sceaux is quite simply a very, very fast horse.
Finally, if he were to line up on the day then 14/1 would be a distant memory, particularly if the unthinkable happened and R.Walsh appeared next to his name on the racecard.
Allied to that, the way the race might pan out could easily favour a horse like Un De Sceaux, as many of his rivals will like to pounce late using bursts of acceleration. It may be that Mullins’ firecracker has gone that fast and that relentless a gallop that many of his rivals will have this attribute blunted by his sheer speed through the race.
If nothing else, he will surely trade shorter in running given his run style, so securing 14/1 NRNB now seems like good sense.
Un De Sceaux (each-way) – 14/1 (Paddy Power – NRNB)