Cheltenham Ryanair Chase Betting Tip: Cheltenham’s going to come up soft, so get your money on Un De Sceaux

Common sense says you should scramble to bet on Cheltenham horses that go best on deep surfaces and the best of those, certainly at the current odds, looks to be Un De Sceaux in the Ryanair Chase.
At 5/2 a £10 bet would return £35
Cheltenham Horse racing
Ryanair Chase
March 15,2018
14:50

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England was under a heap of snow at the start or March and the arctic conditions left their biggest swathe of snow on the South West of the county including Gloucestershire home to Cheltenham racecourse.

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1963 was the last time the racecourse was under such a mass of snow just prior to the beginning of the Festival and work to clear it started 12 days before racing got underway.

55-years later and not only is snow still falling on the ground, there could be more to come.  At the very least there will be rain – that’s if you believe the weathermen who rarely get it wrong these days.  

Little surprise then that William Hill bookmakers are offering 4/7 (1.57) about the opening race on the opening day of the 2018 Cheltenham Festival being run on ground officially described as “good to soft”.  

It is 7/4 (2.75) about “soft” going and a whopping 14/1 (15.00) about “heavy” going.  Traditional “good” ground is a remarkable 16/1 shot.

Class Act Who Loves The Mud

Common sense says you should scramble to bet on Cheltenham horses that go best on deep surfaces and the best of those, certainly at the current odds, looks to be Un De Sceaux in the Ryanair Chase.  

The Irish-trained ten year old with eight wins from nine starts over hurdles is a class act. Since turning his hand to chase racing he boasts 10 wins and a trio of runner-up spots in 15 career starts.  

And these victories never came in ‘egg-and-spoon’ races either. He won the Grade 1 Arkle Chase at the 2015 Cheltenham Festival, landed further Grade 1 glory at the Punchestown Festival immediately afterwards while claiming the Grade 1 Tingle Creek Chase at Sandown in 2016 and the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival 12 months ago.

A closer inspection of his form shows the two-mile five-furlong trip of the Ryanair Chase is ideal for the Willie Mullins trained horse these days. There are no concerns about his well being – unlike fellow stable stars Faugheen and Douvan who have question marks over them following some poor efforts – and fitness cannot be a problem either. Our selection has won both 2017 starts with consummate ease.

But vitally, it is Un De Sceaux’s clear love of soft and heavy going which makes him the 2018 banker Cheltenham Festival bet. Baring a fall he has never been beaten on going described as ‘soft’ or ‘heavy’ in the UK or Ireland.

Then again, even if biblical intervention sees temperatures rise to the mid-20’s during the days leading up to Thursday March 15th (the day of the Ryanair Chase) do not be too concerned.  His victory in this race last year came on ground officially described as ‘good’.

Old Firm Connections

Finally, don’t forget Un De Sceaux represents the ‘old firm’ of jockey Ruby Walsh and trainer Willie Mullins.  Walsh has been leading rider at the Festival for nine of the past 10 years and Mullins’ has produced 30 Festival winners in the past five years.  They know what it takes to win here and never fail to place their horses into the correct races.

On that note, Un De Sceaux does have an alternative entry in the Queen Mother Champion Chase over a shorter two mile trip.  But all major Cheltenham betting firms are now going ‘NRNB’ (Non-runner No Bet),, so in the unlikely event he does take up that engagement, people that follow our advice will have their stakes refunded.

Un De Sceaux to win at 5/2 (3.50) with Bet Victor on the Ryanair Chase

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