- Perth Scorchers v Brisbane Heat
- KFC Big Bash League 12, Final
- Saturday February 4, 2023 (8.15am UK)
- Optus Stadium, Perth
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Something has to give…..
This is a clash between two teams who have matched each other blow for blow over the last few weeks, with both winning seven out of their last eight matches.
The difference is that many would have expected the Scorchers to do it. The Heat, maybe not so.
Perth are the four-time title winners and defending champions, but the only time Brisbane claimed the title - 10 years ago - they beat this opponent at the old WACA ground.
Can they repeat the trick?
Both teams have caused me to come a cropper in this competition.
I have underestimated the Scorchers more than once, while I didn’t think the understrength Heat had a prayer in yesterday’s semi-final against Sydney Sixers. But they overcame the loss of Khawaja, Labuschagne, Renshaw and Swepson to spring a surprise at the SCG.
I’m going to roll the dice again here, but I do urge caution and wouldn’t be betting big on this result.
Brisbane are a best price of 43/20 with 10bet to win, and that is very appealing in a two-horse race when one of the runners and riders has won seven out of eight.
As good a side Perth are - and they’ve proved it time and time again - I’m just not sure I could sit there with supreme confidence on a 2/5 shot. That’s my reasoning for taking a chance.
Anglo Aussie a key man for Perth
Josh Inglis has been one of Perth’s star men in this competition, scoring 405 runs with four fifties and claiming 16 dismissals behind the stumps - the joint most by a wicketkeeper in the competition.
The Leeds-born Australian limited overs international, a former Yorkshire age-group player, has had two failures in the last two games with the bat. But I can see him bouncing back.
I like two prices here, the first being the Bet365 price of 5/6 on him to go over 33.5 on the player performance. That’s a point a run, 10 per catch and 25 per stumping.
The other is the 7/2 Ladbrokes have on him to score a fifty in this fixture.
Sam can fly over the final hurdle
Before I get onto Brisbane left-hander Sam Heazlett, I would be taking the price boosted Bet365 price of 3/1 on his team-mate Michael Neser to be their top bowler in the match.
He was player of the match with two wickets and 48 not out in the victory over the Sixers and has taken 26 wickets this campaign - the second most in the tournament.
As much as I’m looking forward to watching rising left-arm quick Spencer Johnson bowl at pacy Optus, I would be siding with fellow seamer Neser at a good price.
Now for Heazlett, who has only played once in the ongoing BBL, standing in to hit 13 in Wednesday’s semi-final win over Sydney Sixers.
His place on the sidelines owes much to the presence of bigger names in the Heat team. But they’re gone.
Heazlett is by no means a young buck without experience and without performances behind him. He has done it in teal previously and has even made an Australian ODI squad in the past.
The 4/1 on him with a host of firms, including Ladbrokes, to be Brisbane’s top batter in this final has caught my eye. Wouldn’t it be quite something for him to put a frustrating campaign behind him and shine when it matters most.
#OddsOnThat selection looks juicy
This is a selection I quite like for prolonged interest in a match, especially when the pressure is on and run outs and ducks become likely.
Betfair are offering 15/2 on there to be a duck, a stumping and a run out in the match, which is a bit of an increase from the 5/1 I have suggested in the past.
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