- ICC Men’s T20 World Cup
- Thursday 3 November, 2022
- Pakistan v South Africa
- Sydney Cricket Ground (8am UK)
Even a Pakistan win at the SCG is unlikely to see them progress, but you just never know.
They are four points behind Group Two leaders India and three behind second-placed South Africa, whose final group games are - significantly - against Zimbabwe and the Netherlands respectively.
It would need one of those to lose and for Pakistan to win both their remaining fixtures against South Africa and Bangladesh for them to have a chance of progression.
Safe to say, my unbeaten pre-tournament dark horses South Africa are in an incredibly strong position after two wins from three, including beating India last time out.
South Africa are 4/6 favourites to win this one, with Pakistan 7/5. I fancy the former to continue their form, but nothing surprises me with Pakistan.
Given we already have interest with the 6/5 pre-tournament bet on the Proteas to reach the semi-finals, which a win would ensure, I will look elsewhere for value.
Let’s hope super Shaheen continues to improve
No one can deny Shaheen Shah Afridi’s quality. The Pakistan left-arm pacer is one of the best T20 bowlers going around. But he has been slow off the mark in this competition, owing much to a three-month injury lay-off immediately prior to arriving in Australia.
He went wicketless in the first two matches against India and Zimbabwe before looking better for 1-19 in victory over the Dutch last time out.
He is getting better game by game, but I’m going to play safe here instead of backing him to be top wicket-taker. I like the look of his player performance marker with bet365, which is over or under 20.5. I would be going over that mark for 1/1.
The reason why. He just needs to strike once with the ball and add a point from somewhere else, be it a run or via a catch - a point per run, 10 per catch and 20 per wicket.
Afridi is far from the worst lower order batter going around, and he has got to the crease twice in three games from number nine.
I would also be keen on Ladbrokes’ 6/4 on Pakistan leg-spinner Shadab Khan to take over 1.5 wickets in this fixture. He has taken three apiece when bowling through the middle in their last two fixtures.
Rilee to rule again
“Stubborn Hardcastle” you may say, but nothing has changed my mind on Rilee Rossouw success for South Africa.
The scorer of a match-winning hundred against Bangladesh a couple of games ago from number three in the order is the subject of a bet365 price boost to 4/1 to be his country’s top run-scorer in Sydney.
Despite a duck last time out against India, I would be continuing to side with the in-form left-hander whilst he remains at a juicy price.
Quality spin opens up prospect of #OddsOnThat combination
Betfair Sportsbook are offering 7/1 on there to be a duck, a stumping and a run out in this match.
It is a bet I have often advocated for interest throughout an entire T20 fixture, and I always look for quality spin when advocating this bet to get the stumping.
I love the wily Keshav Maharaj for South Africa, and Tabraiz Shamsi is x-factor if he gets a game. For Pakistan, Shadab Khan has been in excellent form with six wickets in the last two games, while they also have Mohammad Nawaz up their sleeve.
In the last but one game for both these sides, this bet would have landed, while in their last outings the stumping was the only thing missing.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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