- Wednesday March 1, 2023 (6am UK) (Game 1 of 3)
- Sher-e-Bangla National Cricket Stadium, Mirpur
Never mind a rose in between two thorns, England’s 50-over team has been more a thorn in between two Roses over the last nine months or so.
Since beating the Netherlands away in June, the world champions have drawn at home to South Africa amidst losses to India at home, Australia away and South Africa away.
All this while the Test team have been making waves added to a World Cup success for the T20 side.
Make no mistake about it, this is a crucial series. There may be some key names missing for differing reasons, Bairstow, Brook and Root for example, but this is a chance to play in sub-continental conditions ahead of the World Cup in India later this year.
And it is a tough assignment - tougher than many may think.
Bangladesh have had some impressive ODI results in recent times. They have won seven out their last nine series dating back to January 2021, including beating India 2-1 at home last time out in December. The likes of Dhawan, Kishan and Kohli were in the Indian team.
I’ll be honest, I think this is a very difficult series to call. I’ve seen Bangladesh captain Tamim Iqbal call for his side to be playing on truer and better pitches, while his England counterpart Jos Buttler admits he is looking forward to testing his side on slower and lower pitches.
With that in mind, if you are betting on the outcome of the series and the first match, I would urge a low stakes approach.
But my low stake would be on Bangladesh to win game one at a price of 9/5 with Betfair Sportsbook.
The recent form of both nations suggests England are not the play here. I can see why the world champions are favourites, but they are quite heavy favourites at 2/5. No series win since mid-summer suggests otherwise.
Jofra can and Dawid is a Malan with a plan
Ladbrokes are offering a boosted 3/1 on England’s left-hander Dawid Malan to score a fifty in the series opener.
He has reached or bettered that milestone on six occasions in 15 one-day internationals and 21 times in 70 limited overs matches for England overall.
That runs includes scores of 58 and 112 in three ODIs in South Africa late last month and at the start of this, and he is a batter with plenty of experience in Bangladesh having previously played in their T20 Premier League, including twice this winter.
Bet365 also have Jofra Archer at 10/3 to be England’s top bowler in this fixture.
The big quick eased back into international cricket in South Africa but ended that ODI series with a super six-wicket haul.
I can see him causing issues here. Even if it is a slow and low surface, he has the pace, bounce and skill to succeed.
Mirpur mayhem could be repeated
In the opening match of the December series between Bangladesh and India at this venue, it was a wicket-filled low scoring contest.
Chasing 187, Bangladesh won by one wicket.
In bowling India out, left-arm spinner Shakib Al Hasan claimed 5-36 with his left-arm spinners.
I’m going to suggest he could take five wickets tomorrow, something which is on offer at 10/3 via Betfair’s #OddsOnThat selection.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.