- Bangladesh v England One-Day International series, third game (of three)
- Monday March 6, 2023 (6am UK)
- Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, Chittagong
I wondered whether this would be another tricky assignment for an England ODI side which has struggled in the last year so. But they’ve proved me wrong.
They just got over the line in a low-scoring opener before racking up 326-7 on Friday and defending it to win by 132 runs.
Given the different manners in which they have won, you have to expect the world champions will go on and secure a 3-0 clean sweep on Monday.
England are a best price of 4/11, and while I think they will secure that price I would rather look elsewhere for some value in this preview.
Rehan certainly can if handed debut
I’m hoping that with the series secured, England will hand teenaged Leicestershire leg-spinning all-rounder Rehan Ahmed his ODI debut and he can secure the 11/8 Ladbrokes have on him to take over 1.5 wickets in the game.
Ahmed was actually struggling with a bit of illness at the start of the series, but he sub fielded on Friday and is over that now. This would seem the perfect time to hand him a 50-over debut, and hopefully if so he follows his seven-wicket Test bow in Pakistan in December.
Since then, the 18-year-old has been playing in the ILT20 competition in the UAE for champions Gulf Giants. He took eight wickets in six games, only going wicketless once.
If Ahmed isn’t selected by England, you would get your money back on the bet.
Let’s make it a hat-trick of hundreds
Bet365 are offering 12/5 on there to be an England century scored in this fixture - could be any player, it doesn’t matter.
That has happened in the first two games thanks to Dawid Malan’s 114 and then Jason Roy’s 132. The first was chasing a target, the latter setting.
In the last ODI in Chittagong in December, or Chattogram as some name it, India racked up a massive 409-8 in a big win. Ishan Kishan crashed 210 and Virat Kohli 113.
Ideally, England would bat first, heightening the prospect. But, as we saw with Malan’s effort, if they don’t there is still an excellent chance of this bet landing.
Shake it up Shakib
In Friday’s fixture at Mirpur, Bangladesh veteran Shakib Al Hasan was their top batter with 58 from number five in 194 all out as they chased 327.
In the last ODI at Chittagong, that game which India topped 400, he top-scored with 43 from number three.
With that in mind, there are a couple of prices I like on his success, one including Dawid Malan.
I have stuck with Malan runs for the first two games. He delivered for us with a century in the opener and then failed in the second.
I’m not going to suggest him again for England top bat or anything like that, but he should be good enough to fulfil his side of this bargain and score 20 runs.
Paddy Power, via their #WhatOddsPaddy selections, have Shakib and Malan to both score 20 plus runs at 7/4.
Sticking with Shakib, it surprises me somewhat that Betfair Sportsbook have priced him up at 6/1 to be Bangladesh’s top run-scorer in the third ODI.
He is their second leading run-scorer of all-time behind his captain and opener Tamim Iqbal, who leads this market, yet he is priced up as the joint fourth favourite.
I would be taking that price on, especially when you consider that England could quite easily take some cheap top order wickets.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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