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- Lucknow Super Giants v Mumbai Indians
- TATA Indian Premier League, Eliminator
- Wednesday May 24, 2023 (3pm UK)
- M.A. Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai
Cards on the table straightaway. I’m going to steer clear of this result.
It surprised me a touch that Mumbai have been priced up as the favourites to beat a Lucknow side who finished above them in the table, albeit by only one place and one point.
They are 8/11 compared to LSG’s 6/5. I was thinking they may be 10/11 the pair.
Given that we already have interest in this fixture in terms of the 7/1 we got on Mumbai to win the tournament before a ball was bowled, I’ll leave the result alone and look for value elsewhere.
Runs for fun, but don’t get too greedy
Mumbai have posted six totals of 200 or more in IPL 2023, the most by any team in an IPL season. Lucknow have done it three times, including a whopping 257-5, and there have been four 200 plus totals score in this ongoing campaign in Chennai.
So you can see I will be urging you to get on a couple of bets involving runs. But what I would say is don’t get too greedy and go big on 200 plus totals. Back them by all means, but I would be going bigger on smaller totals because at some point Mumbai’s batting will not meet the level it’s been at in the last fortnight.
Betfair and Ladbrokes are the best places to do that via their #OddsOnThat and #GetAPrice sections.
First of all, Betfair are offering 1/1 on both teams to post 170 plus totals. I would be taking that.
Then it’s over to Ladbrokes, who are slightly more generous in comparison when they offer 2/1 on both teams to reach the 180 mark.
Any higher than that - both teams to score 200 plus at 7/1 with Ladbrokes, for example, - and I would only be doing that with small stakes.
Can Sharma shake it up for Mumbai?
Mumbai and India captain Rohit Sharma has had a pretty quiet couple of years in the IPL. This year has been better than last for the classy opener, but nothing to get too excited about.
Now, however, would be the perfect time for him to come good. And there have been some encouraging signs of late, with scores of 29, 37 and 56 in his last three matches.
I’m going to side with him to continue that upward curve of scores 2, 3, 0, 0 and 7 before then.
BetUK have him at 1/1 to score over 23.5 runs against LSG, something I would be taking.
Betfair have price boosted him to 7/2 to be Mumbai’s top batter in this fixture, another price that looks enticing to me.
And finally, how about the 10/1 Ladbrokes are offering on him to score a fifty in addition to his team-mates Suryakumar Kumar hitting a six and leg-spinner Piyush Chawla taking two wickets respectively?
Yadav has hit 12 sixes in his last four games and Chawla has taken two wickets in two of his last five.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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