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- TATA Indian Premier League
- Saturday May 20, 2023 (11am and 3pm UK)
Gujarat Titans (18 points, 13 games) are already assured of finishing top of the standings after the group stage. They will therefore play in Tuesday’s Qualifier One. The winner of that fixture advances straight through to next Sunday’s final.
Their opponents in Q1 are yet to be decided, with Chennai and Lucknow both locked on 15 points after 13 outings. Both are in action on Saturday, knowing a win could seal their place in that fixture.
I think Lucknow will be ones who win the race. Chennai play Delhi and Lucknow play Kolkata. Out of contention Delhi and Kolkata have their bags packed ready for home, but I can see Delhi springing a surprise against the Super Kings.
Delhi lifted themselves off the bottom last time out with a 15-run win over Punjab as they successfully defended their total of 213-2. It was a Wednesday win, and their fifth in the competition. That came after losing their opening five games. So, in effect, they have won five of their last eight games. That’s decent form, though they will have to overcome some challenges at home which David Warner has spoken about.
The Capitals are a best price of 6/5 with bet365 to beat Chennai on Saturday. CSK lost last time out against Kolkata, who are unlikely to make the finals.
I then think Lucknow, level on 15 points with Chennai, will pinch second place by beating Kolkata and win for the third game running. They are 4/5 with William Hill amongst others.
Delhi Capitals v Chennai Super Kings, Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi (11am)
This would be the ideal time for Chennai’s new ball seamer Tushar Deshpande to recapture some of the earlier competition form which has put him amongst the leading wicket-takers with 19.
He hasn’t claimed a wicket, despite being frugal, in his last two appearances. Before that, he struck at least twice in four of five fixtures, including a three-wicket haul.
BetUK have him at 9/5 to take over 1.5 wickets in the match, a price I would be taking.
Delhi opener David Warner has had a fruitful last couple of outings, scoring 46 and 54. He is their leading competition run-scorer with 430, and wouldn’t it just be like him to go out with a bang.
Paddy Power have him at a boosted 11/4 to be Delhi’s top run-scorer in this fixture.
Kolkata Knight Riders v Lucknow Super Giants, Eden Gardens, Kolkata (3pm)
Ladbrokes are offering 2/1 on a special for Lucknow duo Marcus Stoinis and Quinton de Kock to score a combined total of 75 plus runs in the match. I like the look of that.
Australian Stoinis is their leading run-scorer with 368 and de Kock has yet to really catch fire, scoring 75 in three appearances, including a best of 70. He can still have a major impact on the tournament, and now would be the perfect time to start for the eye-catching South African wicketkeeper-opener.
Paddy Power are offering 3/1 on Afghanistan seamer Naveen-ul-Haq to be Lucknow’s top wicket-taker in the match.
No Lucknow bowler has really caught fire so far in this competition, with Ravi Bishnoi their leading wicket-taker with only 14.
Naveen has seven from six matches, but six of those wickets - two three-wicket hauls - have come in his last three bowling performances. Included in that run, he also played in a rainy No Result when only Lucknow batted against Chennai.
He takes the new ball and bowls at the death, heightening the chances of wickets.
To finish, if you fancy the Delhi-Lucknow win double, William Hill are offering 2.96/1.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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