Football Tips

England Women v Germany Women - Euro 2022 Final Betting Preview & Tips

The Lionesses are one win away from Euro glory

Beth Mead England Betting Tips
  • Women’s Euro 2022 - Final
  • Venue: Wembley
  • Date: Sunday 31st July 2022 - 17:00 GMT

It’s coming home! Just imagine the scenes if it was our ladies who brought football home, we didn’t even have an England Women’s team the last time we lifted a major trophy. In Sarina Wiegman I trust and I truly believe that our ladies will bring football home on Sunday, lifting the trophy in front of a packed out Wembley Stadium.

What we have seen from the Lionesses has been nothing short of sensational throughout the tournament. After a mediocre; but winning start against Austria the girls have then excelled in every game, proving they have the fight and grit to overcome big obstacles. The 8-0 victory over Norway in our 2nd game clearly gave this team an enormous sense of belief which they have carried through with them to this final.

Norway were supposed to be a tough opposition for the girls but they were merely brushed aside as our attackers ran riot at the Amex. They followed that result up with another superb 5-0 win over Northern Ireland to win the group, scoring 14 goals without conceding.

In the knockouts we faced two of the tournament favourites and in the quarter-finals we were really up against it for a long while. Spain hadn’t got the memo about football coming back to England and were here to ruin the party. Jorge Vilda’s side took a deserved lead in the 54th minute having dominated play up until that point. That goal sparked a reaction from Wiegman who made four substitutions in the following 18 minutes, subsequently turning the game on it’s head. Substitutes have been a huge plus point for our Lionesses throughout this tournament, particularly in Ella Toone and Alessia Russo who combined in the 84th minute to take the game to extra-time… and we all know the rest.

Then there was Sweden, let’s not let the 4-0 scoreline fool anyone, this was not an easy game, in fact Mary Earps was incredibly busy and a lot is owed to her for this victory. We defended resolutely against a side with real quality but the real positive from this was how clinical we were in converting our chances. Beth Mead continued her impeccable goalscoring campaign adding a 6th goal to increase her lead in the race for the Golden Boot. The special moment that will live long in the memory for all fans came in the 68th minute when Al Russo backheeled the ball and nutmegged the helpless Lindahl, who could do nothing about all four of the goals.

Now onto our opponents… Germany entered the tournament as one of the favourites and are always seen as the team you have to beat if you are going to lift this trophy. With classic German efficiency they have won all five of their games, sweeping aside, France, Austria, Spain, Finland and Denmark.

They conceded their first goal of the campaign in the semi-final against France when Frohms levelled the game just before half-time. As you would expect though, there was no panic in Voss-Tecklenburg’s side and they went on to win the game 2-1 in normal time, thanks to a brace from forward Alexandra Popp. England’s biggest struggle during the EURO’s came against Spain, a team that Germany made light work of in the group stages, taking a comfortable 2-0 win. Alexandra Popp has been lethal during the EURO’s and is level with Beth Mead on goals in the race for the Golden Boot, and has played 10 minutes less than Mead. It could be a straight shootout on Sunday evening and it could be a case of the Golden Boot winner will also likely lift the trophy.

Make no mistakes, this final is set up to be a cracker, and if both teams show up as they have done this far we are in for a real spectacle. Never have our ladies had a better chance of lifting silverware, we just need to find a way past a formidable opponent in Germany.

I believe this game could be won on substitutions, and England could get stronger towards the later stages of the match, with good options to come from the bench. The impact of an expected record audience for a Women’s EURO’s match in can’t go underestimated either. Russo and Toone could again play huge roles coming on against tiring legs, and with the likes of Parris, Greenwood, Kelly and Scott having proved they can slot right into a game after being brought on this tournament, Wiegman seems to have found a winning formula.

Match Stats

  • Beth Mead and Alexandra Popp are the tournament’s leading scorers with six goals.
  • England are on an unbeaten run of 18 games.
  • England have won 10 of their last 11 matches inside 90 minutes (winning the other match in extra-time against Spain).
  • Russo has scored four goals from off the bench for England.
  • Both teams have only conceded one goal in this EURO’s campaign.
  • England won the 3-1 the last time these two teams met in the Arnold Clark Cup in February 2022.
  • Germany have won the competition a record eight times and won it in six consecutive campaigns between 1995 and 2013
  • England have never won but have finished runners up in 1984 and 2009.
  • Germany have scored 13 goals in EURO 2022.
  • England have scored 20 goals in EURO 2022.
  • England have averaged 58% possession over the course of the tournament, Germany 53%.
  • Germany have covered more ground than England this tournament despite not having played extra-time, coming in at 559km, compared to England’s 496km.

Predictions (All odds William Hill)

I have backed Beth Mead to score anytime in all five of England’s games and she has filled her boots, scoring in four of the five games shes played in. These all came in with decent odds of 2/1, 17/10, 7/5 and 13/20, so this has proved to be very profitable over the tournament.

  • Beth Mead to score anytime - 21/10
  • Both teams to score 4/5
  • England to win in extra-time 10/1

* Odds correct at the time of writing. Subject to changes.

Sam Tizzle

Sam Tizzle

Sam provides football tips on Freebets, with a strong focus on the Premier League