Paris Saint-Germain kick off their 12th bid for Champions League glory, of the Qatari era, against Borussia Dortmund and, given that both sides find themselves in this group of death, every point counts.
This is a big night for PSG, given that Luis Enrique’s start to life in Paris has been underwhelming at best.
Friday night’s 3-2 home defeat to Nice leaves les Rouge-et-Bleu fifth in Ligue 1, having yielded eight points, or fewer, from their opening five fixtures first time since 2010.
Over in the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund have already slipped-up against both VfL Bochum and Heidenheim, throwing away a 2-0 lead at home against the latter.
So, even at this early stage of the season, Edin Terzić went into Saturday’s trip to Freiburg under big pressure, with die Schwarzgelben scored twice late on to snatch a crucial 4-2 victory.
In the context of this Champions League group, both PSG and Dortmund have landed in a true group of death, with A.C. Milan and Newcastle United completing a fearsome quartet.
Thus, both are under pressure to make a winning start at Parc des Princes.
Paris Saint-Germain to win and both teams to score
We’re backing Paris Saint-Germain to make home advantage count given that, in the Champions League group stages though, les Parisiens’ record is imperious, having not fallen at the first hurdle in modern-times.
Les Parisiens have won 15 of their last 18 group phase home games, losing just one, their most-recent defeat, with fans in attendance, coming 19 years ago at the hands of CSKA Moskva.
We’re also anticipating a goal-fest, given that PSG’s five matches this season have produced 16 goals, while Dortmund’s five outings have witnessed a whopping 20 goals.
PSG’s sole clean sheet of the campaign came in a goalless draw with Lorient so, while we do expect Dortmund to score past Gianluigi Donnarumma, we still foresee a home win in the end.
Kylian Mbappé to score more than once
Even though his teammates haven’t been up to much, Kylian Mbappé has been on fire this season, scoring seven times in four Ligue 1 games, bagging braces against Lens, Olympique Lyonnais and, most-recently Nice.
In the Champions League, his tally of 40 goals puts him 19th in the all-time top-scorers list, needing just eight more to break into the top ten.
25 of these goals (62.5%) have come in the group stages so, up against a far from solid Dortmund back-line, with think 4/1 is a more than reasonable price to back Mbappé to scored at least twice.