Portugal in control of their own fate…
Portugal and Spain will duke it out for the final Nations League semi-finals spot this evening at the Estadio Municipal de Braga.
After an emphatic 4-0 victory over the Czech Republic last weekend, Portugal usurped their Iberian neighbours into top spot in Group A2 and their fate rests in their own hands.
Portugal only need a draw to join the Netherlands, Croatia, and Italy in the semi-finals next summer, while Spain will be licking their wounds after a surprise 2-1 reverse at the hands of Switzerland.
Luis Enrique’s men would have been in the driving seat going into final Matchday, made a contentious decision to leave recognised striker Alvaro Morata on the bench against the Swiss.
Fernando Santos’ troops, on the other hand, have only ever failed to win two of their nine Nations League contests in front of their own supporters and confidence will be high in the camp.
This clash has all the ingredients to be a classic, so to whet your appetite ahead of kick-off, we have pinpointed a couple of tips for you to gorge on.
Scoring draw on the cards
Given the pedigree of these two sides, it is perhaps surprising that nothing has separated in each of their past five clashes. Indeed, Portugal last tasted victory over Spain in an international friendly (4-0) back in 2010.
The permutations are that Portugal require just a point to secure a spot in the Nations semi-finals, and Spain who will have been smarting from their defeat to the Swiss, could prove to be more obdurate opposition this time.
Enrique could freshen things up for La Furia Roja by breaking up the Barcelona-themed midfield of Gavi, Pedri, and Sergio Busquets to pave the way for Rodri and Koke to return.
An Iberian derby always provides plenty of thrills and spoils, and this match will make for compelling viewing. Portugal have netted 11 times across five Nations League games and they have lost just once.
This could well be a high-scoring draw and I am thinking it could end 2-2 after 90 minutes. bet365 has obliged and they are offering a tempting-looking price of 14/1 for this Correct Score selection which could be worth following up on.
Diogo Jota to strike first blood
Although his campaign has been overshadowed by injuries, Diogo Jota ended a 20-game drought stretching back five-and-a-half months when he netted against the Czech Republic.
Jota is always a handful for any defence, and he can stretch games with his clever movement on and off the ball.
He came off the bench and produced a fine cameo display when he replaced Rafael Leao against the Czechs, and he could well find the target against Spain.
If you fancy Jota to get off the mark and open the scoring, then you can find odds of 13/2 for him to do so with Unibet.