It’s the final round of Premier League fixtures before we head off to Qatar for the World Cup and there will be some very nervous players praying they don’t pick up an injury.
I will be intrigued to see how the World Cup squad announcements affect minutes on the pitch for certain players, as well as commitment level’s. Undoubtedly it will be in the back of players minds that they have the biggest tournament there is in a matter of days. The form has been really good with my Premier League bets in the last couple of weeks with a 16/1 and 11/1 winners putting us in plenty of profit.
Hopefully we can head into the World Cup with another winner! Also I will be producing plenty of England articles for Qatar so make sure you are checking the site for those!
This Saturday we have a bolstered schedule with eight fixtures to get stuck into. I have produced three bet builders for all the televised games as well as an accumulator for the 3pm fixtures.
12:30pm - Manchester City vs Brentford - Haaland to score 2+ goals, Toney to score or be shown a card 7/1 with Paddy Power
I am expecting Erling Haaland to return to the starting lineup in this one, with the striker not going to the World Cup and having recovered from injury. With that in mind he makes the first part of the bet given his outrageous form.
The 2nd part of my bet is Brentford striker Ivan Toney to score or be carded. The Bee’s leading marksman has been very unfortunate to miss out on a World Cup place with 8 goals scored this season. Having scored all of his last 20 spot-kicks you would be confident of him adding to that tally should Brentford get a penalty this weekend. Not only is he the clubs leading scorer this season, he also has more cards than anyone else in the team (5).
- There have been at least three match goals in all of Manchester City’s last 14 home games.
- Man City have won their last 11 home games in the Premier League.
- City have scored at least two goals in all of their last 15 home matches.
- Brentford haven’t won any of their last seven away games.
- In 12 of Brentford’s last 14 Premier League away games there has been at least three goals scored.
5:30pm - Newcastle United vs Chelsea - Newcastle to win, Chelsea to receive the most cards, Almiron to score, Joelinton to have a shot on target - 23/1 with Paddy Power
For those of you who know me you will be well aware at this point that I am indeed a Newcastle fan and I could not be happier with the team right now. The Magpies currently find themselves 3rd in the league table, remarkable when you consider this time 12 months ago they were rock bottom without a win.
This weekend they face a tough task against Chelsea who have been hit and miss this season. I am quietly confident in Newcastle’s chances of taking three points this weekend, I do not expect it to be easy but there is a real feel good vibe around St James Park and a mentality within the squad that tells me they will go out and throw everything at Chelsea.
Eddie Howe has just won player of the month thanks to Newcastle’s six wins from their last seven games. Miguel Almiron has just won player of the month thanks to his seven goals in his last seven games for the Toon. With Chelsea having taken just two points from their last four Premier League games and being knocked out of the EFL Trophy midweek they carry no form coming into this match.
- The Toon have had the lead at both half-time and full-time in six of their last seven Premier League matches.
- The Blues have won seven of their last eight games against Newcastle.
- Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in all of their last four games against the home side.
- Newcastle and Arsenal have the best defensive record in the league having conceded only 11 goals.
- Newcastle have had 94 corners so far this season, only Liverpool (99) have had more.
7:45pm - Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Arsenal - Arsenal to win, Arsenal over 4.5 corners, Odegaard to have 1+ shots on target & Ruben Neves to be carded. - 12/1 with Paddy Power
There is only one way I am going with this one and it’s all in on Arsenal winning the match. Three points would of course see The Gunners maintain their status as the league leaders over the duration of the World Cup.
Having taken 10 points from their last four away games Arteta will be looking for another win against a Wolves side that have taken just one point from their last four games in the league. Wolves captain Ruben Neves is never one to shy out of a tackle and I think he might be making plenty this weekend. The Portuguese midfielder has already picked up six cards this term, I think there is a good chance he could pick up another here.
Martin Odegaard is averaging a shot on target every 90 minutes this season. With Odegaard not going to the World Cup I expect to see him play the majority of this match.
- Wolves have won just two of their last 21 Premier League matches.
- Wolves have taken one point from their last four Premier League games.
- Arsenal have taken 19 points from a possible 21 in their last seven league games.
- The Gunners have won five of their last seven away games in the Premier League
- Wolves are the lowest scoring side in the division with just 8 goals scored.
- Arsenal have the joint best defensive record in the Premier league, alongside Newcastle (11).
3pm Premier League Acca
For the 3pm games I have got a cheeky 11/1 acca for us with William Hill:
- Liverpool to beat Southampton and 3+ match goals
- Tottenham vs Leeds United both teams to score no draw
- West Ham United vs Leicester City both teams to score
- Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace both teams to score