Football Tips

Tizz Talks Premier League: Super Sunday

Tizz casts his eye over two of Sunday’s Premier League clashes


As far as Super Sundays go, you will have to go back a while to find one that tops this. We have a total of five games going ahead, although I have to express my upset that only two games are being televised, Aston Villa vs Chelsea at 2pm and Liverpool vs Manchester City vs Liverpool at 4:30pm. I do feel it’s a massive shame that they couldn’t find a way to get the Leeds vs Arsenal and Manchester United vs Newcastle United games televised. I have picked out two bet builders for the two games of the most interest to me, both with Paddy Power, let’s hope for some winners.

Manchester United vs Newcastle United Bet Builder @ 17/1

  • Miguel Almiron to have 1+ shot on target
  • Christian Eriksen to have 1+ shot on target
  • Over 4.5 Newcastle corners
  • Casemiro to be carded

For those of you who regularly follow my articles, you will know that I am, of course, a Toon fan, and dare I say, this is the first time in a long time that I have optimism about our chances of getting a result at Old Trafford. Don’t get me wrong, I am not here expecting a guaranteed three points, but I am quietly confident that if we turn up, we will cause some major problems as we did against Manchester City and Liverpool. I fully expect that the South American influences on both sides will have a key part to play in this match, with Newcastle’s Bruno Guimaraes and Miguel Almiron in particularly good form for the visitors.

As for the hosts, Antony will likely start on the right-hand side, with Casemiro given a rare Premier League start in the middle of the park, where he will face up against his Brazilian counterpart Bruno, a battle I can’t wait to see unfold. And, of course, behind Casemiro, you have the fiery Argentinian Lisandro Martinez, who will be looking to shut out Newcastle’s attacking threats alongside Raphael Varane.

Manchester United’s vulnerabilities could play into the hands of Eddie Howe’s side on Sunday. The Red Devils have struggled with set pieces all season, and no side in the league has taken more corners than Newcastle. Another area the hosts have struggled with is stopping midfield creativity from their opposing sides, and unfortunately, this is an area in which Newcastle thrived this season.

Not only have the Magpies had the highest amount of turnovers in the Premier League, but they also have the highest amount of turnovers that have led to a shot on goal. This cut-throat approach could make for an exhilarating game at Old Trafford, and that midfield battle will be key to deciding the match’s outcome.

  • Manchester United have lost just four of their last 38 games against Newcastle
  • Newcastle are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 games
  • Man United have netted at least three goals in all of their last five games against the Magpies
  • Manchester United have won five of their last six Premier League matches
  • No team has had more corners in the Premier League than Newcastle (70), nine more than 2nd placed Manchester City
  • Manchester United have had the least amount of corners in the Premier League with 27
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Tizz's Tip

Manchester United v Newcastle

Tizz expects Newcastle to push Manchester United all the way

fire

At 17/1 a £10 bet would return £180

Manchester United v Newcastle

October 16, 2022

2:00 pm GMT+1


Liverpool v Manchester City Bet Builder @ 13/1

  • Erling Haaland to score anytime
  • Phil Foden to have 2+ shots on target
  • Kevin De Bruyne to assist a goal
  • Manchester City to win

Some of the stats for this game are outrageous, honestly, it’s a rabbit hole I went into, and it remains to be seen what prevalence they will even have come Sunday afternoon. So after going down the hole, it’s fair to say that all the stats are leading towards goals for both sides, something that won’t come as a shock. If you were to go off previous encounters at Anfield, your bets would have you leaning more towards Liverpool - however, I will go against the grain and sit on Guardiola’s side of the fence. The Reds have had a very mixed start to the season, by their very high standards, it has been poor, but they have thrown in two monumental results with a 9-0 win against Bournemouth and a 7-1 win away to Rangers in the Champions League midweek.

Klopp must be scratching his head watching his side most weeks, the urgency that is synonymous with his team just hasn’t been there this campaign, perhaps we are seeing a hangover of a failed quadruple attempt? Or maybe a squad that is just tired, and the intensity has eventually caught up with them? Either way, it’s not been pretty on the eye and nowhere near the levels we come to expect from the Reds, and defensively I haven’t seen them look this vulnerable since Klopp’s first season in charge. The icing on the cake is the injuries in key areas, with Luis Diaz, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Joel Matip all expected to be missing on Sunday.

As for the visitors, they find themselves in 2nd place, but the general consensus worldwide is that they will win the Premier League at a canter this season. At the time of writing, bookmakers are pricing City at as little as 1/5 to defend the trophy. Current leaders Arsenal, priced at 7/1, are expected to drop off, and most people have already written off Liverpool’s title credentials with odds of 33/1 available with Paddy Power and Betfair. Erling Haaland is just eight goals away from levelling last season’s Golden Boot tally, and we still have 29 games remaining. Phil Foden has been an integral part of City’s success so far this season, and that hat-trick against Manchester United should make him a shoe-in for this clash. Foden has amassed 12 shots on target this season, the 7th most in the Premier League.

  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 27 home games in the Premier League
  • There have been over 2.5 match goals scored in 15 of Manchester City’s last 17 Premier league games
  • Liverpool have scored two or more goals in 17 of their last 21 home matches
  • Manchester City have scored at least two goals in 17 of their last 18 games
  • Liverpool are undefeated in 23 of their 24 home games against Manchester City
  • Liverpool have scored at least two goals against Manchester City in all competitions
  • Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 22 Premier League away games
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Tizz's Tip

Liverpool v Manchester

Tizz expects Manchester City to notch up another win

fire

At 13/1 a £10 bet would return £140

Liverpool v Manchester

October 16, 2022

4:30 pm GMT+1


* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.


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Sam Tizzle

Sam Tizzle

Sam provides football tips on Freebets, with a strong focus on the Premier League