The French Grand Prix has been a spectacularly boring race since it re-joined the Formula One calendar in 2018.
Something of a featureless netherworld this circuit, which is surrounded in blue and red lines – presumably in an attempt to make it appear less bland. It’s as smooth as a billiard table and has enormous run-off areas.
Resultantly, all 20 cars that started the race completed the race distance in 2021. The 2020 French Grand Prix was cancelled due to Covid-19 but the 2019 race saw 19 cars see the chequered flag. It would appear that we are set for another boring race but to the rescue have come some very high temperatures.
35-degree heat will translate to a track temperature of over 50 degrees and that could lead to mechanical breakdowns and some serious tyre wear. Could this be the year when we finally see an upset in France?
Some Don’t Like It Hot
We hope so as we are opting for several bets that would not normally appeal.
For starters, 7/4 about the use of a Safety Car rates as an overpriced proposition. Exploding tyres, wreckage on the track, or conventional accidents could bring the Safety Car into play.
But there has to be an outstanding chance at least one car will overheat and sustain a mechanical breakdown that leaves it stranded on the track. The 2022 race stewards have been quick to call for the pace car when a car has broken down on the track and given the punishing heat, it is not difficult to make four when adding two-and-two together.
So, who will be the first driver to retire? Carlos Sainz has an exceptional record in this field. He has been the first driver to retire three times this season. In a Ferrari car that has suffered a lot of breakdowns, couple the Spaniard up with his teammate – Charles Leclerc – and back the Italian constructor to be the first team forced to lose a car from the race.
Mr Reliable for the Podium
The 2022 Mercedes may not be anything like as fast as earlier models, but it is – as opposed to the Red Bulls and Ferraris – proving very reliable. The team’s George Russell has not failed to finish outside the top-five in any completed start.
He has only failed to finish once – due to a first lap collision in Silverstone – so he is a proverbial ‘Mr. Reliable’. 1/3 is short about him enjoying an eleventh top-six finish on Sunday, so the 7/4 on offer about a fourth top-three finish is the obvious bet.
- Safety Car to be used at 7/4 with Betfair
- First Constructor retirement: Ferrari 9/1 with William Hill
- George Russell to finish on the podium 7/4 with BetVictor
* F1 odds correct at the time of writing. All odds subject to changes.