Betting Tips

Formula One: Dutch Grand Prix Preview & Betting Tips

There’s no value in backing Max at such short odds this weekend.

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Latest F1 Betting Tips

Check out the latest F1 betting tips and predictions ahead of the next grand prix.

Dutch Grand Prix Betting Tips

Formula 1 is back from its summer holidays. But bookmakers believe it is a case of normal service will be resumed. Red Bull has won all 12 races to date, and its star driver, Max Verstappen, is on a winning sequence of eight. Quoted on 1/4, online sportsbooks believe the home hero will win this weekend’s Dutch Grand Prix.

The race, staged at Zandvoort on the edge of the North Sea, returned to the Formula 1 calendar in 2021 following a 36-year absence. In 2021 Max Verstappen beat Lewis Hamilton and teammate Valtteri Bottas by 20 and 76 seconds. The trio were a lap clear of the field.

Twelve months ago, Verstappen won again. This time George Russell chased him home, and Charles Leclerc took third. A safety late into the race meant most cars finished the race on the lead lap, and the winning margin was four seconds.

And safety car intervention could be critical to this weekend’s race. A 4.2-kilometre lap that takes roughly 75 seconds to complete (at race pace) that is roller-coaster-like with a banked corkscrew and no meaningful straight …expect two scenarios: 2021′s procession or 2022′s exciting race that Lewis Hamilton and George Russell nearly won and Max Verstappen almost lost- all because of strategic decisions by all teams.

Zandvoort is a high downforce circuit, and these venues tend to reduce advantages instead of magnifying them. Max and his Red Bull are un-opposable at speed tracks, with long straights and obvious overtaking opportunities while removing the possibility of a mechanical malfunction.

Lando Can Go Well in Holland

On Sunday, while Verstappen is the rightful favourite, the 80 per cent chance of winning that his 1/4 odds suggest is surely wrong. Instead, we much prefer the 18/1 offered on Lando Norris. The McLaren driver can be backed at bigger odds, but only with firms that offer win-only terms and not each way.

Norris has never won a race but has been outstanding in 2023 – taking second in the British and Hungarian Grand Prix – and his rapidly improving car is best on high-downforce circuits. Should Verstappen falter, his Red Bull team make a strategic faux pas, or even an ill-timed safety car interruption prove expensive, Norris looks the most likely to benefit.

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Darren's F1 Betting Tips

Dutch Grand Prix - Outright Winner

McLaren's Lando Norris could run a big race in Holland


At 18/1 a £10 win bet would return £190

2023 Dutch Grand Prix

August 27, 2023

2:00 pm GMT+1

Lewis Can Take His Third Fastest Lap

In addition to his prohibitive race-winning odds, at 4/6, Verstappen is also unattractive in the ‘Fastest Lap’ betting market. Yes, he claimed the accolade in this race last season, but Lewis Hamilton earned it in 2021. Hamilton also took the fastest lap award in the last race in Belgium.

The Englishman also set the best time in Monaco earlier in the summer, and as that is a high-downforce venue, it’s a big form pointer to the outcome this weekend. Lewis is 7/1 to take his third fastest lap of 2023, and that quote looks bigger than his genuine chances.

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Darren's F1 Betting Tips

Dutch Grand Prix - Fastest Lap

Lewis Hamilton looks value at 7/1 to take another fastest lap


At 7/1 a £10 win bet would return £80

2023 Dutch Grand Prix

August 27, 2023

2:00 pm GMT+1

F1 Betting Tips

Throughout the F1 season, we will bring you betting tips and our F1 predictions for every race on the calendar. Whether it’s the favourite, or we are looking elsewhere for value, each race will be looked at, as we look to find winners, and highlight the best prices available.

If you are looking to place a wager on any upcoming F1 race, then make sure you check our the F1 predictions from Freebets, right on this page, as we point you towards the best possible value.

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In some instances, F1 betting can offer very little value if you are sticking with just picking the winner of a race. For this reason, we make sure we look elsewhere, covering alternative markets and picking out the best bets.

From looking at qualifying, who will set the fastest lap, and other options such as each way on the winner, or a podium finish, we’ll make sure every angle is covered in our search for value.

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* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.

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